Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 10 January 2023, Tuesday


	Ermak Angarsk		Dizel Penza

	1	X	2
	4.9	4.3	1.46
	5.12	4.54	1.53
	5.4	4.85	1.46	Watch
	5.2	4.5	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.16 ↑ (4.82)	4.55 ↑ (4.5)	1.49 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermak Angarsk
17.8%

Draw
20.2%

Dizel Penza
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

20.8%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

19.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dizel Penza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ermak Angarsk - Dizel Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ermak won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Dizel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ermak have a series of guest games.

In this match Dizel is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Ermak won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 38-47.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermak won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
28.12.22	Molot Perm - Ermak Angarsk	3:2 penalties ✺
26.12.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Ermak Angarsk	1:2 ✺
24.12.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Ermak Angarsk	5:3 ✺
22.12.22	Izhstal - Ermak Angarsk	4:2 ✺
17.12.22	Ermak Angarsk - Rubin Tyumen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLLL
- Dizel Penza
VHL
07.01.23	Omskie Krylia - Dizel Penza	5:1 ✺
05.01.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza	3:2 OT ✺
25.12.22	Dizel Penza - Lada Togliatti	0:3 ✺
23.12.22	Dizel Penza - Bars Kazan	3:1 ✺
21.12.22	Dizel Penza - AKM	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
12.10.22	Dizel Penza - Ermak Angarsk	5:2
24.12.21	Ermak Angarsk - Dizel Penza	1:2
23.10.21	Dizel Penza - Ermak Angarsk	2:3
30.11.20	Ermak Angarsk - Dizel Penza	2:0
20.11.20	Dizel Penza - Ermak Angarsk	5:1
12.10.19	Ermak Angarsk - Dizel Penza	1:5
02.02.19	Ermak Angarsk - Dizel Penza	5:1

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