Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 39

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Tuskecsarnok (Budapest)


	Ferencvárosi		TWK Innsbruck

	1	X	2
	1.59	5	3.8
	1.56	4.7	4.45
	1.61	4.69	4.23	Watch
	1.62	4.55	3.97	Watch
	1.55	4.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 (1.59)	4.67 ↑ (4.62)	4.09 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferencvárosi
57.9%

Draw
19.7%

TWK Innsbruck
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

20.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

20.6%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

TWK Innsbruck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Ferencvárosi - TWK Innsbruck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Nagy K. (G)	81. Brandner J. (G)
7. Lindgren J.	61. Frimmel W.
52. Bengtsson R.	27. Kudla P.
19. Antonen J.	21. Benker S.
25. Kestila A.	12. Corbeil B.
12. Shaw B.	91. Wilkins M.
Line 2
55. Green L.	2. Moberg C.
56. Hudec M.	5. Kerber N.
92. Tammela J.	20. Rappold K.
21. Coulter T.	93. Lajeunesse T.
9. Green G.	47. Witting M.
Line 3
22. Horvath M.	13. Steffler D.
77. Toth G.	4. Stoffler E.
94. Galajda Z.	60. Coatta M.
14. Molnar D.	44. Mader T.
17. Mihalik A.	89. Bar L.
Line 4
27. Seregely M.	53. Ebner M.
13. Nagy K.	74. Klassek S.
20. Sofron I.	23. Dobnig J.
18. Mattyasovszky G.
93. Laskawy F.
Substitutes
1. Balizs B. (G)	30. Vernon M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
06:39, 1 - 0, Mattyasovszky G. (G), Green L. (A),
11:26, 1 - 1, Corbeil B. (G), Benker S. (A), Kudla P. (A2)
12:03, 2 - 1, Shaw B. (G), Kestila A. (A), Antonen J. (A2)
18:55, 3 - 1, Green G. (G), Tammela J. (A), Coulter T. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
00:35, 4 - 1, Antonen J. (G), Bengtsson R. (A), Shaw B. (A2)
13:48, 5 - 1, Coulter T. (G), Hudec M. (A), Tammela J. (A2)
14:49, 6 - 1, Antonen J. (G), Kestila A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:43, 6 - 2, Wilkins M. (G), Benker S. (A), Ebner M. (A2)
10:42, 6 - 3, Wilkins M. (G), Kudla P. (A), Benker S. (A2)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

Ferencvárosi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Innsbruck has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Ferencvárosi is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 4.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ferencvárosi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2.

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Ferencvaros: 1.01% TWK Innsbruck: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	TWK Innsbruck	10	3	2	0	5	25:28	13
13	Ferencvaros	8	3	0	1	4	24:29	10

Last Results with these Odds

TWK Innsbruck - the odds 4.31 are the expected chance of winning is 21.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferencvárosi TC Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
09.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Pioneers Vorarlberg	5:4 ✺
05.01.26	Olimpija Ljubljana - Ferencvárosi	5:1 ✺
03.01.26	Ferencvárosi - Fehérvár AV 19	3:6 ✺
01.01.26	Graz 99ers - Ferencvárosi	6:1 ✺
30.12.25	Ferencvárosi - Vienna Capitals	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL
- TWK Innsbruck
Austrian Ice Hockey League
09.01.26	Fehérvár AV 19 - TWK Innsbruck	4:2 ✺
05.01.26	Pioneers Vorarlberg - TWK Innsbruck	6:4 ✺
03.01.26	TWK Innsbruck - EC KAC	1:4 ✺
01.01.26	Villacher - TWK Innsbruck	6:2 ✺
30.12.25	TWK Innsbruck - Red Bull Salzburg	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
21.11.25	TWK Innsbruck - Ferencvárosi	1:3
21.09.25	Ferencvárosi - TWK Innsbruck	6:2

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