Match Info

OHL

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Dort Financial Center (Flint, MI)


	Flint Firebirds		Peterborough Petes

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.51	3.99
	1.62	4.52	4.01	Watch
	1.53	4.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.58)	4.54 ↓ (4.56)	4.07 ↓ (4.15)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flint Firebirds
57.2%

Draw
20.2%

Peterborough Petes
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

20.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

21.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flint Firebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Peterborough Petes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Courville M. (G)	30. Rye E. (G)
19. Allen D.	15. Cameron C. (C)
22. Anderson D.	7. Carter H.
76. Aspinall N. (C)	28. Faulkner B.
86. Battaglia J.	8. Frazer G.
13. Colosimo J.	4. Hartnell C.
65. Fellinger R.	12. Kolarik L.
14. Graziano L.	10. Levac A.
11. He K.	44. Lutz Y.
20. Komadoski G.	29. McCallum B. (A)
4. Morgan B.	16. Novotny A.
68. Murata C.	18. Parish F.
7. Paul J.	11. Partridge B.
95. Pazii I.	72. Perreault M.
98. Podrekar U. (A)	71. Petrovski J. (A)
77. Smith B.	92. Soto M.
81. Tessier X.	6. Strohack G.
9. Thibodeau C.	22. Walton K.
8. Uljanskis D.	26. Young A. (A)
Substitutes
1. Vaccari M. (G)	34. Johnston M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
08:35, 0 - 1, Lutz Y. (G), Soto M. (A), Perreault M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
16:54, 1 - 1, Thibodeau C. (G), Pazii I. (A), Allen D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 3)
02:21, 1 - 2, Cameron C. (G), Perreault M. (A), Young A. (A2)
03:06, 1 - 3, Faulkner B. (G),
04:40, 2 - 3, Battaglia J. (G), He K. (A), Aspinall N. (A2)
19:06, 2 - 4, Novotny A. (G),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))

Flint is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

Peterborough is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Flint may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Flint is the team to beat.

We predict that Flint will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Flint won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 58:55. (average 3.4:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Flint won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 4:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Peterborough Petes - the odds 4.15 are the expected chance of winning is 22.03%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flint Firebirds
OHL
28.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Ottawa 67s	4:3 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Windsor Spitfires - Flint Firebirds	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Sudbury Wolves	5:6 OT ✺
16.02.26	Oshawa Generals - Flint Firebirds	0:5 ✺
14.02.26	Erie Otters - Flint Firebirds	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWL
- Peterborough Petes
OHL
28.02.26	Saginaw Spirit - Peterborough Petes	5:2 ✺
26.02.26	Windsor Spitfires - Peterborough Petes	4:3 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Peterborough Petes - Brantford Bulldogs	4:3 OT ✺
20.02.26	Brampton Steelheads - Peterborough Petes	1:4 ✺
19.02.26	Peterborough Petes - North Bay Battalion	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
04.12.25	Peterborough Petes - Flint Firebirds	3:2
06.02.25	Peterborough Petes - Flint Firebirds	2:7
08.11.24	Flint Firebirds - Peterborough Petes	4:1
05.01.24	Flint Firebirds - Peterborough Petes	3:1
30.11.23	Peterborough Petes - Flint Firebirds	1:4
01.12.22	Peterborough Petes - Flint Firebirds	4:7
12.11.22	Flint Firebirds - Peterborough Petes	2:3 penalties

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