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Current Win Probability
Saginaw Spirit 27.5%
Draw 20.3%
Peterborough Petes 52.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
19.7%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
20.9%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saginaw Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saginaw Spirit's form might have worsened.
Peterborough Petes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peterborough Petes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saginaw Spirit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Petes than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peterborough Petes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
63. Shurygin S. (G)
30. Rye E. (G)
41. Ackerman T.
15. Cameron C. (C)
14. Barabanov E. (A)
7. Carter H.
72. Barnes B.
91. DiCunzolo G.
42. Cloutier J.
28. Faulkner B.
95. Geldart G.
8. Frazer G.
88. Hanrahan R.
4. Hartnell C.
13. Harmer C. (A)
12. Kolarik L.
4. Harper L.
10. Levac A.
9. Jones G.
29. McCallum B. (A)
98. Klepov N.
16. Novotny A.
8. Najim B.
18. Parish F.
62. Pepoy B.
11. Partridge B.
10. Rausa J.
72. Perreault M.
11. Roscoe D.
71. Petrovski J. (A)
90. Schmidt S.
92. Soto M.
23. Sienko K.
6. Strohack G.
27. Stewart B.
22. Walton K.
17. Velliaris X.
26. Young A. (A)
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
Substitutes
31. Papineau K. (G)
34. Johnston M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
08:11, 1 - 0, Jones G. (G), Barabanov E. (A),
14:29, 1 - 1, Faulkner B. (G), Novotny A. (A), Levac A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (4 - 1)
02:55, 1 - 2, Soto M. (G), Walton K. (A), Partridge B. (A2)
04:04, 2 - 2, Harper L. (G), Klepov N. (A), Barabanov E. (A2)
09:07, 3 - 2, Klepov N. (G), Zhilkin D. (A), Barabanov E. (A2)
11:21, 4 - 2, Pepoy B. (G), Roscoe D. (A), Jones G. (A2)
16:07, 5 - 2, Cloutier J. (G), Barabanov E. (A), Zhilkin D. (A2)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
Peterborough is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 3.
Recent form of Saginaw has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Peterborough has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Saginaw may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Saginaw has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 79:62. (average 4:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Saginaw won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 4.1:2.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Peterborough Petes - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.45%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Shurygin S. (G) 
Rye E. (G) 
Barabanov E. (A) 
Kolarik L. 
Novotny A. 
Rausa J. 
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