Match Info

VHL

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Yubileiny (Almetyevsk) 🌤️ ...


	Neftyanik Almetyevsk		Gornyak-UGMK

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.07	4.49
	1.7	4.3	4.06	Watch
	1.74	4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.76)	4.12 ↑ (3.83)	4.02 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Almetyevsk
54.5%

Draw
22.4%

Gornyak-UGMK
23%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

24%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

25.4%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Almetyevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftyanik Almetyevsk than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+2%)

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Gornyak UGMK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
73. Nazarov Y. (G)	93. Romashkin P. (G)
4. Chetverikov D.	91. Malorosiyanov D.
49. Khamidullin D. (C)	50. Shchemerov A.
88. Bulatov A.	7. Gordin A.
63. Platonov Y.	13. Zaytsev O. (C)
9. Bykov M.	56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
Line 2
90. Sumin A. (A)	85. Zhuravlyov Y.
97. Myasishchev I.	72. Trofimov Y.
59. Terekhov S.	96. Miller N.
18. Korotkov B.	14. Makhrin M. (A)
99. Zhulin T.	44. Lukhovskoy N.
Line 3
75. Ionov S.	4. Bolshakov M.
8. Mulyukov I.	83. Karpovich D.
32. Yakupov R.	87. Loza I.
17. Kulikov P. (A)	18. Sushchev V.
71. Shakirov R.	59. Razdyakonov V.
Line 4
85. Kurbanov A.	95. Dumchenko N.
13. Zamaltdinov R.	90. Nekrasov N.
19. Khlopotov V.	79. Tarasov M.
77. Marushev M.	29. Khremkin K.
	32. Borisov S.
Substitutes
37. Nosov G. (G)	35. Tulinov N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:04, 0 - 1, Khremkin K. (G), Tarasov M. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
02:59, 1 - 1, Khlopotov V. (G), Zhulin T. (A), Chetverikov D. (A2)
03:44, 2 - 1, Shakirov R. (G), Kulikov P. (A),
15:18, 2 - 2, Borisov S. (G), Khremkin K. (A), Tarasov M. (A2)
16:19, 2 - 3, Gordin A. (G), Zaytsev O. (A), Zhuravlyov Y. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 2.

Recent performances by Neftyanik Almetyevsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gornyak-UGMK has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Neftyanik Almetyevsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Neftyanik Almetyevsk has had a series of away games.

In this match, Neftyanik Almetyevsk is the team to beat.

We predict that Neftyanik Almetyevsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 48:45. (average 2.8:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftyanik Almetyevsk won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 3:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Almetyevsk	17	7	6	0	4	49:33	26

Last Results with these Odds

Neftyanik Almetyevsk - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.28%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Almetyevsk
VHL
13.02.26	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 ✺
11.02.26	Molot Perm - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:8 ✺
09.02.26	Toros Neftekamsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Izhstal - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	1:5 ✺
03.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Kristall Saratov	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWL
- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
15.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Gornyak-UGMK	5:0 ✺
13.02.26	Bars Kazan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - SKA-VMF	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.10.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	0:2
13.12.24	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:5
03.12.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	5:1
26.11.23	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1
16.11.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	5:4 penalties
15.02.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:2 penalties
14.09.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Gornyak-UGMK	0:2

Upcoming Matches