Match Info

Liiga

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Helsinki Ice Hall (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	HIFK		HPK

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.25	3.30
	1.85	4.10	3.40
	1.87	4.10	3.55	Watch
	1.97	3.76	3.35
	1.92	3.85	3.49	Watch
	1.95	3.70	3.30
	1.91	4.20	3.33	Watch
	1.90	3.95	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.95)	3.99 ↑ (3.75)	3.38 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK
49%

Draw
23.4%

HPK
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

24.6%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

27.3%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

HIFK - HPK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Juel T. (G)	65. Crespin J. (G)
28. Pilo L.	43. Kukkonen M. (A)
33. Kiviharju A.	4. Jokirinne V.
88. Huuhtanen N. (A)	95. Ranford B.
77. Leschyshyn J.	12. Paivarinta S. (A)
72. Liukas E.	94. Hakulinen A. (C)
Line 2
67. Puutio K.	7. Pyke G.
25. Nassen L.	39. Nychuk C.
43. Marleau V.	81. Oden J.
21. Lehtera J. (A)	29. MacEachern C.
71. Makiaho D.	11. de Jong E.
Line 3
90. Salmela S.	5. Andzans A.
37. Sippola O.	16. Gabrielsson H.
19. Leppanen O.	28. Kukuca A.
12. Joki A.	64. Kainulainen H.
54. Somervuori J.	10. Vesterinen R.
Line 4
2. Uronen E.	55. Piironen V.
81. Pakarinen I. (C)	25. Huttunen H.
18. Uronen A.	15. Korhonen O.
93. Vanhatalo L.	44. Kopiloff O.
Substitutes
60. Alnefelt H. (G)	8. Alitalo V.
42. Sinivuori L.	1. Saarinen K. (G)
Coaches
. Jokinen O.	. Manner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
03:25, Hakulinen A. (2 min),
03:39, 1 - 0, Vanhatalo L. (G), Puutio K. (A), Marleau V. (A2)
04:42, Puutio K. (2 min),
11:11, Liukas E. (2 min),
11:11, Kopiloff O. (2 min),
13:37, Vanhatalo L. (2 min),
16:47, 2 - 0, Pakarinen I. (G), Vanhatalo L. (A), Salmela S. (A2)
17:10, 2 - 1, Paivarinta S. (G), Ranford B. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
17:50, 2 - 2, Kukuca A. (G), Vesterinen R. (A), Andzans A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:07, Pyke G. (2 min),
10:29, 2 - 3, Nychuk C. (G), Paivarinta S. (A), Pyke G. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
04:12, Hakulinen A. (2 min),
11:35, MacEachern C. (2 min),
12:03, 3 - 3, Makiaho D. (G), Puutio K. (A), Marleau V. (A2)
12:58, 4 - 3, Liukas E. (G), Kiviharju A. (A),
16:34, (2 min),
19:33, 5 - 3, Liukas E. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 2.

HIFK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

HPK is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

HIFK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

HIFK might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 64:42. (average 3.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 35:19. (average 3.5:1.9).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

IFK Helsinki: 4.75% Hameenlinna: 2.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Hameenlinna	12	4	3	0	5	28:35	18
14	IFK Helsinki	11	3	1	2	5	31:34	13

Last Results with these Odds

HIFK - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.46%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK Hockey
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	KooKoo - HIFK	1:4 ✺
21.08.26	HIFK - KalPa	1:3 ✺
14.08.26	HIFK - Pelicans	4:2 ✺
08.08.26	Ilves - HIFK	1:0 penalties ✺
07.08.26	HIFK - JYP	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLL
- HPK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
01.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	HPK - Lukko	4:3 penalties ✺
20.08.26	HPK - Ässät	3:0 ✺
19.08.26	HPK - Vaasan Sport	4:2 ✺
12.08.26	Ässät - HPK	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
24.01.26	HPK - HIFK	0:4
17.12.25	HIFK - HPK	4:3
21.11.25	HPK - HIFK	4:0
22.10.25	HIFK - HPK	2:6
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
02.09.25	HPK - HIFK	6:3
21.08.25	HIFK - HPK	3:2
Finnish SM-liiga
07.03.25	HPK - HIFK	2:3

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