Match Info

Liiga

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Helsinki Ice Hall (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	HIFK		JYP

	1	X	2
	2.85	4.25	2.01
	2.90	4.10	2.05
	3.10	4.10	2.02	Watch
	2.79	4.18	2.11
	3.16	4.21	1.95	Watch
	2.75	4.10	2.08
	3.05	4.30	1.99	Watch
	2.85	4.00	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3.03)	4.16 ↑ (3.98)	2.04 (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK
31.8%

Draw
22.4%

JYP
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

23.4%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

24.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

HIFK - JYP Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Juel T. (G)	34. Setanen O. (G)
27. Ahlroth J.	44. Vatanen S.
25. Nassen L.	31. Peltola E.
43. Marleau V.	77. Tukiainen L.
77. Leschyshyn J.	28. Lassila J. (C)
72. Liukas E. (A)	61. Huovila S.
Line 2
28. Pilo L.	63. Bourque T. (A)
83. Nemecek D.	3. Arola J.
88. Huuhtanen N. (A)	39. Ojantakanen V.
81. Pakarinen I. (C)	8. Newkirk R.
71. Makiaho D.	82. Pesonen H. (A)
Line 3
13. Arkko V.	18. Jokinen R.
11. Melart I.	32. Setkov M.
19. Leppanen O.	92. Vidgren A.
12. Joki A.	7. True A.
93. Vanhatalo L.	40. Torgersson D.
Line 4
67. Puutio K.	22. Vaisanen V.
37. Sippola O.	14. Costmar A.
42. Sinivuori L.	17. Makinen O.
18. Uronen A.	27. Korjus J.
54. Somervuori J.
Substitutes
60. Alnefelt H. (G)	16. Liljamo T.
	35. Salminen O. (G)
Coaches
. Jokinen O.	. Matikainen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
10:27, Joki A. (2 min),
13:21, 0 - 1, Ojantakanen V. (G), Peltola E. (A), Newkirk R. (A2)
14:11, 1 - 1, Pakarinen I. (G), Makiaho D. (A), Melart I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:36, 1 - 2, Newkirk R. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Pesonen H. (A2)
09:18, Arkko V. (2 min),
09:33, 1 - 3, Ojantakanen V. (G), Torgersson D. (A), Newkirk R. (A2)
12:05, Ahlroth J. (2 min),
15:02, Leschyshyn J. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
11:22, 2 - 3, Sippola O. (G), Somervuori J. (A), Pilo L. (A2)
14:18, 2 - 4, Costmar A. (G), Torgersson D. (A), True A. (A2)
14:18, Juel T. ↓, Alnefelt H. ↑,
16:58, Torgersson D. (2 min),
17:34, 3 - 4, Makiaho D. (G), Huuhtanen N. (A), Vanhatalo L. (A2)
18:59, Pakarinen I. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 1.

Recent results have been tough for HIFK (last 5 matches: 1 win).

JYP is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

JYP could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, JYP has had a run of games away from home.

JYP is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for JYP in today's match, at odds of 1.99.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HIFK has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:67 (averaging 3:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for HIFK against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 38:36 goals (averaging 3.5:3.3 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

IFK Helsinki: 4.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	JYP	10	7	0	0	3	30:25	21
15	IFK Helsinki	10	2	1	2	5	25:33	10

Last Results with these Odds

JYP - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
23.09.26	HIFK - Kärpät	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	HIFK - Lukko	2:3 AET ✺
16.09.26	HIFK - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:7 ✺
09.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - HIFK	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	TPS - HIFK	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL
- JYP Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
19.09.26	Pelicans - JYP	1:3 ✺
17.09.26	Jokerit - JYP	2:4 ✺
16.09.26	KooKoo - JYP	3:5 ✺
09.09.26	Lukko - JYP	0:5 ✺
05.09.26	Kärpät - JYP	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
07.08.26	HIFK - JYP	3:5
Finnish SM-liiga
07.02.26	JYP - HIFK	2:0
03.01.26	HIFK - JYP	5:3
29.10.25	HIFK - JYP	1:4
03.10.25	JYP - HIFK	6:0
28.02.25	HIFK - JYP	1:0
25.01.25	JYP - HIFK	4:3 OT

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