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Current Win Probability
Hartford Wolf Pack 33.5%
Draw 22.9%
Rochester Americans 43.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
22.3%
47.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.2%
21.8%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Wolf Pack has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Wolf Pack than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rochester Americans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hartford Wolf Pack - Rochester Americans Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Boyko T. (G)
27. Levi D. (G)
9. Berard B.
73. Costantini M.
21. Blidh A. (A)
12. Fiddler-Schultz R.
19. Brisson B.
91. Helenius K.
42. Chmelar J.
23. Johnson R.
38. Dorrington J.
8. Joshua J.
37. Dowling J.
83. Komarov V.
4. Fitzgerald C. (C)
21. Kopff T.
64. Fix-Wolansky T.
16. Kuntar T.
25. Hillman B.
36. Laaouan N.
14. Mackey C. (A)
7. Leschyshyn J.
18. McConnell-Barker B.
22. Metsa Z. (C)
55. Morrow S.
20. Nadeau O.
78. Othmann B.
79. Neuchev V.
51. Pouliot D.
74. Novikov N.
28. Roobroeck D.
5. Rathbone J. (A)
10. Sykora A.
19. Slaggert G.
11. Terrance C.
24. Wahlberg A.
23. Vaisanen K.
45. Warren B. (A)
Substitutes
31. Garand D. (G)
50. Leinonen T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
01:57, 1 - 0, Hillman B. (G), McConnell-Barker B. (A), Fix-Wolansky T. (A2)
07:18, 2 - 0, Blidh A. (G), Othmann B. (A),
09:48, 2 - 1, Nadeau O. (G), Kuntar T. (A), Fiddler-Schultz R. (A2)
16:20, 3 - 1, Chmelar J. (G), Berard B. (A), Dowling J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
11:43, 3 - 2, Kuntar T. (G), Helenius K. (A), Metsa Z. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:04, 3 - 3, Kuntar T. (G), Rathbone J. (A), Fiddler-Schultz R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:05, 3 - 4, Fiddler-Schultz R. (G),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 0.
Hartford is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Rochester has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Rochester might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 60:74. (average 3:3.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:32. (average 2.9:3.2).
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Boyko T. (G) 
Berard B. 
Blidh A. (A) 
Helenius K. 
Chmelar J. 
Komarov V. 
Sykora A. 
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