Match Info
AHLDate: 3 April 2026, FridayLocation: Blue Cross Arena (Rochester, NY)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | Flohockey |
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Rochester Americans |
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Belleville Senators |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Rochester Americans
45.4% | Draw
21.8% | Belleville Senators
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Belleville Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (-2.3%)Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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27.  Levi D. (G)
| 31. Parsons J. (G)
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15.  Bayreuther G. (A)
| 58. Bolduc S.
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58. Belliveau I.
| 16. Boucher T.
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73. Costantini M.
| 13. Bourgault X.
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29. Fulp A.
| 92. Clarke G.
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91.  Helenius K.
| 10. Daoust P. (A)
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39. Jones Z.
| 11. Donovan J.
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8. Joshua J.
| 29.  Hamara T.
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83.  Komarov V.
| 14. Harrington S.
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16. Kuntar T.
| 42. Hodgson H.
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36. Laaouan N.
| 39. Hookey L.
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25. Lawrence K.
| 43. Kaliyev A.
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7. Leschyshyn J.
| 15.  Lycksell O.
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72. Meyer C. (A)
| 25. O'Rourke R.
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20. Nadeau O.
| 32. Pettersson O.
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17. Savage R.
| 22. Pilon G. (C)
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19. Slaggert G.
| 19. Rees J.
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24. Wahlberg A.
| 5. Stanley H.
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45. Warren B. (A)
| 44. Toure D.
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| Substitutes |
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33. Ratzlaff S. (G)
| 45. Reidler K. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 3)
- 01:44, 0 - 1, Pilon G. (G), Rees J. (A),
- 03:31, 0 - 2, Bourgault X. (G), Lycksell O. (A), Daoust P. (A2)
- 08:00, 0 - 3, Hamara T. (G), Kaliyev A. (A), Clarke G. (A2)
- 14:03, 1 - 3, Wahlberg A. (G), Helenius K. (A), Kuntar T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:12, 2 - 3, Nadeau O. (G), Belliveau I. (A), Warren B. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:57, 2 - 4, Kaliyev A. (G), Daoust P. (A), Bourgault X. (A2)
- 18:07, 2 - 5, Bourgault X. (G), Kaliyev A. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 3.In recent matches, Rochester has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Belleville is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Belleville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games. Rochester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.We predict that Rochester will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 78:59. (average 3.9:3).Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:31. (average 3.4:3.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Belleville Senators - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.14%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AHL | | | 04.02.26 | Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators | 1:3 | | 16.01.26 | Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans | 5:4 OT | | 11.01.26 | Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans | 5:6 OT | | 19.12.25 | Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators | 3:2 OT | | 10.12.25 | Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans | 1:6 | | 12.11.25 | Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators | 4:6 | | 29.10.25 | Belleville Senators - Rochester Americans | 1:4 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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