Match Info

FINLAND: Mestis

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Kajaanin jäähalli (Kajaani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Hokki		Kiekko-Vantaa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3.9	2.17
	2.56	4.17	2.27	Watch
	2.38	3.9	2.38
	2.52	4.05	2.28	Watch
	2.75	3.9	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.35)	3.98 ↑ (3.91)	2.25 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hokki
35.7%

Draw
23.2%

Kiekko-Vantaa
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

23.4%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

23.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hokki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Kiekko-Vantaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokki than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Vantaa than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Hokki - Kiekko Vantaa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Salonen D. (G)	37. Helomaa J. (G)
8. Mykkanen J.	6. Haarti J.
28. Andzans A.	5. Alho A.
22. Juhola J.	94. Nordgren N. (A)
19. Homjakovs A.	20. Maansaari O. (C)
63. Jokinen J. (C)	27. Kalajanniska O.
Line 2
38. Ilvessuo J.	25. Ulander E.
4. Heiskanen T.	50. Lehtinen A.
9. Suni O.	8. Peltola S.
25. Fagerstrom J.	88. Saari M.
14. Heinanen K.	81. Menna M.
Line 3
77. Nissinen T.	44. Vuori T.
6. Luhanka E.	45. Vainio J. (A)
83. Vahakangas K.	13. Tenhovuori N.
12. Ohtonen J. (A)	22. Turunen R.
15. Pellikka A.	11. Gustafsson R.
Line 4
11. Koskenkorva S. (A)	43. Niemelainen A.
27. Aaltonen J.	29. Tiusanen E.
91. Tuomainen N.	21. Rautama M.
87. Karasa A.	62. Iso-Kuortti P.
Substitutes
33. Nieminen E. (G)	35. Varis K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:51, 1 - 0, Heinanen K. (G), Suni O. (A), Fagerstrom J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:10, 2 - 0, Karasa A. (G), Fagerstrom J. (A), Mykkanen J. (A2)
16:10, 3 - 0, Karasa A. (G), Fagerstrom J. (A), Mykkanen J. (A2)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hokki won 2.

Hokki has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kiekko-Vantaa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kiekko-Vantaa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kiekko-Vantaa have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Hokki won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 61:63 (average 3.1:3.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hokki won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 30:27 (average 3:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hokki
Finnish Mestis
11.01.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hokki	4:2 ✺
08.01.25	Hokki - Hermes Kokkola	1:3 ✺
03.01.25	Hokki - Kiekko-Vantaa	2:3 penalties ✺
29.12.24	Hokki - RoKi	4:5 ✺
28.12.24	RoKi - Hokki	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kiekko-Vantaa
Finnish Mestis
15.01.25	Kiekko-Vantaa - KeuPa	4:0 ✺
11.01.25	Hermes Kokkola - Kiekko-Vantaa	5:2 ✺
09.01.25	Jokerit - Kiekko-Vantaa	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Kiekko-Vantaa	0:1 OT ✺
03.01.25	Hokki - Kiekko-Vantaa	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
03.01.25	Hokki - Kiekko-Vantaa	2:3 penalties
20.12.24	Kiekko-Vantaa - Hokki	3:5
30.10.24	Kiekko-Vantaa - Hokki	4:5 penalties
12.01.24	Hokki - Kiekko-Vantaa	3:4
05.01.24	Kiekko-Vantaa - Hokki	7:2
25.11.23	Hokki - Kiekko-Vantaa	3:1
20.10.23	Kiekko-Vantaa - Hokki	1:2 OT

Hokki - Kiekko-Vantaa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide