Match Info

FINLAND: MESTIS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	IPK		Koovee

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.75	5.75
	1.35	5.5	6.25
	1.34	5.7	6.5	Watch
	1.35	5.79	6.77
	1.36	5.79	6.77
	1.4	5.5	5
	1.37	5.6	5.7
	1.4	5.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.37)	5.6 ↑ (5.6)	6.02 ↓ (6.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IPK
68%

Draw
16.5%

Koovee
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

16.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

16.6%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Koovee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koovee than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

IPK - Koovee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches IPK won 3.

IPK is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Koovee is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

IPK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently IPK have a series of guest games.

In this match IPK is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's IPK to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 21 head-to-head matches IPK won 14 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 97-64.

Including matches at home between the teams IPK won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 56-35.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
15.11.23	RoKi - IPK	4:1 ✺
04.11.23	TuTo - IPK	3:5 ✺
03.11.23	Kiekko-Vantaa - IPK	2:9 ✺
31.10.23	IPK - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	6:1 ✺
28.10.23	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - IPK	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW
- Koovee Hockey
Finnish Mestis
14.11.23	Koovee - TuTo	4:3 penalties ✺
04.11.23	Koovee - Imatran Ketterä	3:6 ✺
03.11.23	Koovee - Jokerit	3:2 OT ✺
28.10.23	Hokki - Koovee	5:1 ✺
27.10.23	RoKi - Koovee	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
29.09.23	IPK - Koovee	4:7
15.03.23	Koovee - IPK	1:5
09.12.22	IPK - Koovee	3:4
05.11.22	IPK - Koovee	3:0
25.10.22	Koovee - IPK	2:5
Finnish Cup Hockey
02.09.22	IPK - Koovee	3:2 OT
Finnish Mestis
15.03.22	Koovee - IPK	2:3 OT

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