Match Info
MestisDate: 19 February 2026, ThursdayLocation: Kankaan jรครคhalli (Iisalmi)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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IPK |
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Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.84 |
4.15 |
3.4 |
Watch |
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1.85 |
4.25 |
3.02 |
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1.85 |
4.75 |
3.13 |
Watch |
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1.8 |
4.2 |
3.1 |
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1.78 |
4.3 |
3.4 |
Watch |
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1.95 |
4 |
2.95 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.85 ↑ (1.79) |
4.28 ↓ (4.47) |
3.17 ↓ (3.4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
IPK 49.6% | Draw 21.4% | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat 28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (+0.7%)IPK - Joensuun Kiekko Pojat Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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35. Rovio T. (G)
| 73. Kaskisuo K. (G)
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66. Valtola K.
| 3. Liiri N.
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4. Koskela V.
| 4. Inhala J.
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44. Karppinen A.
| 13. Smith J.
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27. Lausniemi A.
| 6. Hartikainen S.
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22. Koponen E.
| 19. Brygger J. (A)
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| Line 2 |
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49. Viirret V.
| 86. Sevanen R. (C)
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12. Mikkonen O. (C)
| 33. Kurbaka V.
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50. Oden M.
| 10. Kusy D.
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33. Koskela S.
| 97. Janhonen J.
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67. Curri R.
| 17. Virtanen A.
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| Line 3 |
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55. Lahtinen O. (A)
| 2. Mikkola N.
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2. Junkkari J.
| 18. Wehmas J.
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17. Vartiainen T.
| 11. Taskula J.
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20. Ring L.
| 20. Kokkola T. (A)
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7. Suhonen P.
| 80. Vallius S.
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| Line 4 |
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65. Haakana S.
| 24. Maenpaa K.
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21. Suomalainen S. (A)
| 95. Matikainen K.
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26. Hattunen M.
| 28. Suvanto N.
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9. Vesaaja J.
| 56. Haikonen A.
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| Substitutes |
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1. Parviainen O. (G)
| 30. Ahopelto J. (G)
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 11:00, 1 - 0, Oden M. (G),
- 16:31, 1 - 1, Brygger J. (G), Smith J. (A), Taskula J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 12:13, 2 - 1, Lausniemi A. (G), Karppinen A. (A), Koskela V. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 19:20, 3 - 1, Hattunen M. (G),
Preview
IPK is Qualified for Mestis (Play Offs Quarter~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 4.IPK has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).JoKP is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).JoKP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. IPK will hold a modest advantage in this match.We predict that IPK will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, IPK won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 83:54. (average 4.2:2.7).Including home matches between the teams, IPK won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 52:26. (average 4.7:2.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | IPK | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 30:12 | 21 |
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| 7 | Kiekko-Pojat | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24:34 | 9 |
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Last Results with these Odds
IPK - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 51.9%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish Mestis | | | 28.12.25 | IPK - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 4:3 penalties | | 27.12.25 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - IPK | 4:2 | | 21.11.25 | IPK - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 3:2 | | 17.10.25 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - IPK | 4:8 | | Club Friendly Ice Hockey | | | 04.09.25 | IPK - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 5:2 | | Finnish Mestis | | | 19.03.25 | IPK - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat | 3:1 | | 17.03.25 | Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - IPK | 0:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;