The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IPK 47.7%
Draw 21.7%
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat 30.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.8%
20.4%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.2%
20.6%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IPK's form might have worsened.
Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for IPK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
IPK - Joensuun Kiekko Pojat Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Sammalniemi J. (G)
23. Kohonen P. (G)
81. Paqvalin A.
73. Tuhkanen O.
6. Leppanen T.
55. Koskela V.
77. Virtanen J. (C)
11. Taskula J.
27. Lausniemi A. (A)
20. Kokkola T. (A)
7. Suhonen P. (A)
17. Karjalainen H. (A)
Line 2
96. Gronblom T.
3. Liiri N.
2. Junkkari J.
72. Lehmus J.
28. Tolppola V.
5. Sihvonen R.
21. Jaatinen O.
97. Janhonen J.
72. Ahvenlampi M.
29. Lohisalo J.
Line 3
59. Kahkonen J.
4. Inhala J.
4. Kotajarvi J.
6. Korkka O.
13. Halonen V.
40. Suni O.
26. Hattunen M.
51. Koskenkorva J. (C)
23. Paqvalin J.
82. Hult O.
Line 4
9. Mykra O.
19. Brygger J.
33. Koskela S.
28. Suvanto N.
67. Curri R.
56. Haikonen A.
Substitutes
31. Kerkola P. (G)
60. Kuikka J.
18. Tohila R.
32. Rossi J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:18, 0 - 1, Kokkola T. (G), Lehmus J. (A), Taskula J. (A2)
18:24, 1 - 1, Ahvenlampi M. (G), Jaatinen O. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:27, 2 - 1, Tolppola V. (G), Kahkonen J. (A), Jaatinen O. (A2)
19', 3 - 1, (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IPK won 4.
IPK has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
JoKP shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
IPK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, JoKP has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, IPK is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, IPK has recorded 16 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 81:52 (averaging 4.1:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for IPK against this opponent, the record stands at 11 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 49:26 goals (averaging 4.5:2.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
IPK
13
9
1
2
1
44:27
31
5
Kiekko-Pojat
14
5
1
2
6
42:46
19
Last Results with these Odds
IPK - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.85%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.
Finland
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Sammalniemi J. (G) 
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