Match Info

AHL

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Wells Fargo Arena (Des Moines, IA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Iowa Wild		Ontario Reign

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.33	1.67	Watch
	3.6	4.4	1.75
	3.4	4.35	1.8
	3.45	4.7	1.77
	3.48	4.73	1.75	Watch
	3.4	4.4	1.7
	3.74	4.3	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (3.61)	4.46 ↑ (4.2)	1.73 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iowa Wild
26.2%

Draw
20.7%

Ontario Reign
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

22%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

21.7%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iowa Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iowa Wild than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Iowa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iowa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Rousseau W. (G)	29. Copley P. (G)
96. Aube-Kubel N.	59. Alexandrov N.
19. Bankier C.	24. Booth A.
91. Desnoyers E.	91. Brown L.
86. Foudy J.	8. Chromiak M.
14. Gambrell D. (A)	17. Connors K.
27. Heidt R.	37. Doty J.
18. Jones B. (C)	55. Dvorak J.
23. Kiersted M. (A)	21. Gawdin G.
95. Kumpulainen R.	81. Guttman C. (A)
7. Lambos C.	27. Hicketts J. (C)
20. Mayhew G.	46. Isogai K.
3. Peart J.	73. Jenik J.
17. Pitlick T.	19. Kirsanov K.
13. Sandelin R.	26. Lee A. (A)
76. Schmidt R.	45. Millar J.
29. Simmons-Fischer B.	74. Novikov N.
21. Spacek D.	71. Pinelli F.
4. Zmolek W.	13. Ziemmer K.
Substitutes
31. Hlavaj S. (G)	1. Portillo E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
08:35, 1 - 0, Mayhew G. (G), Jones B. (A), Gambrell D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
14:40, 1 - 1, Alexandrov N. (G), Chromiak M. (A), Guttman C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
15:43, 1 - 2, Chromiak M. (G),
19:23, 1 - 3, Lee A. (G),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 2.

Iowa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ontario has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Iowa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Iowa has had a series of away games.

Ontario is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Iowa will win today's game, with odds of 3.48.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 62:62. (average 3.3:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Iowa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 3.8:2.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iowa Wild
AHL
20.03.26	Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rockford IceHogs - Iowa Wild	4:3 OT ✺
11.03.26	Chicago Wolves - Iowa Wild	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Iowa Wild	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Iowa Wild	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WLWWW
- Ontario Reign
AHL
20.03.26	Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign	4:1 ✺
18.03.26	Ontario Reign - Abbotsford Canucks	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds	3:4 OT ✺
13.03.26	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Ontario Reign	3:2 OT ✺
11.03.26	Ontario Reign - Colorado Eagles	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
20.03.26	Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign	4:1
07.01.26	Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild	4:3
04.01.26	Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild	3:0
23.03.25	Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign	4:7
22.03.25	Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign	4:2
12.01.25	Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild	5:2
10.01.25	Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild	0:5

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