Match Info

Liiga

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tampere Deck Arena (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Tappara		Mikkelin Jukurit

	1	X	2
	1.14	8.5	13
	1.15	8.5	16	Watch
	1.2	7.04	10.82
	1.13	9.1	14.74	Watch
	1.2	7	9.5
	1.22	7.1	9.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.32)	7.87 ↑ (5.18)	12.3 ↑ (8.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tappara
80.4%

Draw
12%

Mikkelin Jukurit
7.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.6%

18%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

18.5%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tappara's performance.

Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tappara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+4%)

Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Heljanko C. (G)	36. Heikkeri S. (G)
21. Matinmikko A.	53. Korkola N.
23. Jokipakka J.	70. Saari E.
11. Simontaival K.	54. Piitulainen J. (C)
20. Keskinen O.	52. Hynninen T.
27. Tanus K. (A)	17. Ahonen V.
Line 2
44. Juolevi O.	71. Romppanen N.
26. Mattila Je.	19. Tiihonen L.
88. Blichfeld J.	67. Haatanen A. (A)
22. Rasanen A.	40. Boudon L. (A)
78. Rautiainen B.	96. Frilander J.
Line 3
15. Andersson J.	58. Kurri A.
6. Brickley D.	33. Himanen N.
82. Tuulola E.	63. Heikkinen L.
42. Rauhala O. (C)	18. Sandvik V.
25. Haapala H.	55. Baggstrom R.
Line 4
24. Addamo J.	93. Horvath B.
51. Sylvegard E.	82. Valojarvi V.
62. Mattila Ju. (A)	5. Teshome N.
89. Suvanto O.
Substitutes
77. Metsola J. (G)	29. Buitenhuis E. (G)
Coaches
. Gronborg R.	. Virtanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
04:02, (2 min),
04:46, 1 - 0, Rasanen A. (G), Matinmikko A. (A), Blichfeld J. (A2)
13:02, Brickley D. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:11, 2 - 0, Rautiainen B. (G), Heljanko C. (A),
05:20, 3 - 0, Andersson J. (G), Brickley D. (A), Rautiainen B. (A2)
05:42, Valojarvi V. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
12:13, 3 - 1, Teshome N. (G), Baggstrom R. (A), Romppanen N. (A2)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 4.

Tappara is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Jukurit has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jukurit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tappara has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tappara is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 68:49. (average 3.4:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Jukurit	16	8	3	0	5	42:31	30
10	Tappara	15	6	2	1	6	40:32	23

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Tappara: 23.99% Jukurit: 1.67%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tappara hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
28.02.26	Kärpät - Tappara	1:4 ✺
27.02.26	KalPa - Tappara	1:10 ✺
20.02.26	Pelicans - Tappara	4:3 ✺
18.02.26	Tappara - JYP	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Lukko - Tappara	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW
- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
28.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP	2:3 penalties ✺
27.02.26	HIFK - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:3 OT ✺
25.02.26	Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät	5:4 ✺
18.02.26	Ässät - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
27.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara	2:3
26.11.25	Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:3
22.11.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara	2:3 OT
15.03.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara	2:6
29.01.25	Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:2
05.12.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara	2:4
19.10.24	Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:3

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