Match Info

Liiga

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kivikylan Areena (Rauma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Lukko		Mikkelin Jukurit

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.5	8
	1.3	5.75	9	Watch
	1.3	5.71	7.96
	1.34	5.5	7.28	Watch
	1.3	5	6.5
	1.3	6	8.05	Watch
	1.38	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.42)	5.64 ↑ (4.69)	7.54 ↑ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko
71.1%

Draw
16.6%

Mikkelin Jukurit
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

19.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

21.4%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukko's performance.

Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukko that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Raanta A. (G)	29. Buitenhuis E. (G)
9. Stenqvist J.	27. Hodass B.
38. Almari N.	3. Arola J. (A)
16. Beaucage A.	54. Piitulainen J. (C)
93. Ruohomaa M. (A)	40. Boudon L.
24. Krannila J.	52. Hynninen T.
Line 2
86. Gelinas E. (C)	23. Smits A.
5. Peters A.	71. Romppanen N.
6. Tuuva L.	96. Frilander J.
14. Intonen A.	89. Tammela J.
47. Haapanen T.	17. Ahonen V.
Line 3
34. Viitasalo N.	4. Fisk J.
56. Olsson A.	19. Tiihonen L.
27. Westerholm Po.	67. Haatanen A. (A)
17. Westerholm Pa.	18. Sandvik V.
25. Saarela A.	93. Horvath B.
Line 4
40. Daschke D.	58. Kurri A.
48. Ikonen H. (A)	63. Heikkinen L.
10. Joki A.	6. Remes O.
88. Morand A.	55. Baggstrom R.
Substitutes
31. Ortio J. (G)	36. Heikkeri S. (G)
Coaches
. Lamsa T.	. Virtanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:16, Hodass B. (2 min),
09:46, (2 min),
10:32, 1 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
08:48, Saarela A. (2 min),
13:18, Kurri A. (2 min),
15:19, Heikkinen L. (2 min),
17:15, 2 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:45, 2 - 1, Heikkinen L. (G), Tiihonen L. (A), Baggstrom R. (A2)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lukko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lukko has had a series of away games.

In this match, Lukko is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 52:47. (average 2.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 2.4:1.8).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jukurit: 2.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	13	6	2	0	5	34:28	22
6	Lukko	11	6	1	0	4	29:23	20

Last Results with these Odds

Lukko - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.68%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
18.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko	2:3 OT ✺
17.02.26	Ilves - Lukko	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Lukko - Tappara	1:4 ✺
13.02.26	HIFK - Lukko	0:4 ✺
07.02.26	KooKoo - Lukko	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWW
- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
20.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kärpät	5:4 ✺
18.02.26	Ässät - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:3 ✺
14.02.26	Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit	6:2 ✺
13.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kiekko-Espoo	3:2 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
05.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko	1:2
28.11.25	Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:0
14.11.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko	2:3
19.02.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko	1:3
11.01.25	Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit	8:0
16.11.24	Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:0
16.10.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko	4:3 penalties

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