The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TPS 44.8%
Draw 23.3%
JYP 31.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.7%
24.1%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
27.2%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
TPS - JYP Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
36. Makiniemi E. (G)
34. Setanen O. (G)
6. Rafkin R. (A)
44. Vatanen S.
44. Lindbohm P.
31. Peltola E.
49. Wernblom L.
77. Tukiainen L.
97. Haudum L.
28. Lassila J. (C)
22. Bryggman L. (A)
14. Costmar A.
Line 2
38. Landen A.
63. Bourque T. (A)
40. Lehtonen S.
3. Arola J.
25. Ikonen Jo.
39. Ojantakanen V.
13. Paajanen O. (C)
8. Newkirk R.
86. Yliniemi S.
82. Pesonen H. (A)
Line 3
2. Tuhkala A.
21. Vuontisvaara O.
61. Binner A.
32. Setkov M.
24. Virtanen J.
92. Vidgren A.
21. Maatta J.
7. True A.
19. Savinainen V.
40. Torgersson D.
Line 4
7. Lauridsen O.
22. Vaisanen V.
9. Koivu A.
16. Liljamo T.
57. Munkki V.
17. Makinen O.
84. Pikkarainen K.
27. Korjus J.
Substitutes
32. Vali N. (G)
24. Huttu E.
10. Ylitalo N.
35. Salminen O. (G)
Coaches
. Soderholm T.
. Matikainen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
05:45, 0 - 1, Vidgren A. (G), Arola J. (A), Bourque T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:56, Bourque T. (2 min),
15:41, 1 - 1, Savinainen V. (G), Maatta J. (A), Landen A. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
03:52, 2 - 1, Haudum L. (G), Wernblom L. (A), Bryggman L. (A2)
09:54, 3 - 1, Haudum L. (G), Lehtonen S. (A), Wernblom L. (A2)
13:30, Vatanen S. (2 min),
13:45, 4 - 1, Haudum L. (G), Binner A. (A), Ikonen Jo. (A2)
18:32, Newkirk R. (2 min),
18:32, Lindbohm P. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
TPS has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
JYP is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
JYP may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
TPS is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, TPS has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:54 (averaging 3:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for TPS against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 33:28 goals (averaging 3:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
TPS Turku
14
7
1
1
5
41:32
24
8
JYP
12
7
1
1
3
37:32
24
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
TPS Turku: 3.34%
Last Results with these Odds
TPS - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.69%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.