Match Info

Date: 21 October 2021, Thursday


	Jokerit		Metallurg Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.25	2.5	Watch
	2.35	4.1	2.55
	2.45	3.9	2.5	Watch
	2.43	4	2.44
	2.51	4.02	2.48
	2.1	4.5	2.38
	2.47	4.2	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.15)	4.14 ↓ (4.4)	2.47 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jokerit
39.4%

Draw
22.6%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

21.6%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

15.6%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jokerit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jokerit that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Magnitogorsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jokerit - Metallurg Magnitogorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Jokerit is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metallurg Magnitogorsk is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Jokerit won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 38-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Jokerit won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit hockey
KHL
19.10.21	SKA Saint Petersburg - Jokerit	2:0 ✺
15.10.21	Jokerit - SKA Saint Petersburg	5:4 OT ✺
14.10.21	Jokerit - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:3 ✺
12.10.21	Jokerit - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:6 ✺
08.10.21	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Jokerit	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLL
- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
19.10.21	Dinamo Riga - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:5 penalties ✺
17.10.21	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:5 ✺
14.10.21	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:1 ✺
11.10.21	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sochi	3:1 ✺
07.10.21	Ak Bars Kazan - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
14.02.21	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Jokerit	2:5
30.01.21	Jokerit - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:5
15.02.20	Jokerit - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:4 penalties
30.01.20	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Jokerit	3:4 OT
02.11.18	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Jokerit	3:2
19.09.18	Jokerit - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	5:3
07.01.18	Jokerit - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2 OT

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