Match Info

Mestis

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Kokkolan jäähalli (Kokkola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Hermes Kokkola		Jokerit

	1	X	2
	4.9	5	1.49	Watch
	4.1	4.46	1.46
	4.86	5.07	1.5	Watch
	5	4.6	1.4
	5.35	5.05	1.42
	4.5	5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↓ (5.3)	4.86 ↓ (4.89)	1.46 (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hermes Kokkola
19%

Draw
18.7%

Jokerit
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

19%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

18.3%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hermes Kokkola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Jokerit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hermes Kokkola than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hermes Kokkola - Jokerit Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Hermes will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Makela A. (G)	37. Heikkeri S. (G)
56. Nissinen T.	73. Tuhkanen O.
34. Lauri O.	12. Tumanovs M.
84. Savolainen V.	40. Suni O.
10. Takala E. (A)	22. Forslund A.
11. Merilainen N.	74. Henriksson J.
Line 2
25. Gronblom T.	2. Rantakari O.
16. Cederberg E.	47. Forsblom S. (C)
71. Airo J. (A)	25. Leskinen V.
51. Vahatalo J.	92. Mustonen A.
20. Virolainen J.	26. Kangasniemi O.
Line 3
33. Monkkonen M.	41. Manninen O. (A)
45. Vainio J. (C)	53. Elorinne A. (A)
61. Hahl V.	77. Virtanen J.
18. Niinisto J.	19. Nalli M.
17. Puikkonen T.	80. Vainikainen V.
Line 4
98. Makitalo E.	7. Korkka O.
28. Honkasalo J.	20. Lahnaviik R.
15. Ohtonen J.	29. Kallio B.
53. Ulvila A.	14. Liuksiala J.
Substitutes
35. Tapaninaho A. (G)	30. Vehvilainen V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
02:37, 1 - 0, Ohtonen J. (G), Honkasalo J. (A), Ulvila A. (A2)
04:19, 2 - 0, Puikkonen T. (G), Nissinen T. (A), Niinisto J. (A2)
11:46, 2 - 1, Henriksson J. (G), Rantakari O. (A), Leskinen V. (A2)
17:58, 3 - 1, Niinisto J. (G), Hahl V. (A), Lauri O. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
05:48, 3 - 2, Suni O. (G), Forslund A. (A), Henriksson J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19', 4 - 2, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hermes won 1.

Hermes is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jokerit is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jokerit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jokerit has had a series of home games.

In this match, Jokerit is seen as the favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hermes won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 52:73. (average 2.7:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hermes won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:30. (average 3.3:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Hermes	8	2	1	2	3	22:25	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hermes Kokkola
Finnish Mestis
24.01.26	Hermes Kokkola - Imatran Ketterä	2:1 OT ✺
23.01.26	Hermes Kokkola - Nokian Pyry	5:0 ✺
17.01.26	Hermes Kokkola - KeuPa	4:1 ✺
14.01.26	Imatran Ketterä - Hermes Kokkola	4:5 OT ✺
13.01.26	Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat - Hermes Kokkola	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WWWWW
- Jokerit hockey
Finnish Mestis
28.01.26	Jokerit - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	TuTo - Jokerit	0:3 ✺
23.01.26	Jokerit - TuTo	4:3 ✺
20.01.26	Jokerit - Nokian Pyry	3:4 ✺
16.01.26	Jokerit - RoKi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
08.01.26	Jokerit - Hermes Kokkola	6:2
13.12.25	Hermes Kokkola - Jokerit	4:1
15.11.25	Hermes Kokkola - Jokerit	1:6
31.10.25	Jokerit - Hermes Kokkola	3:1
22.02.25	Jokerit - Hermes Kokkola	9:2
25.01.25	Hermes Kokkola - Jokerit	4:5 OT
27.11.24	Jokerit - Hermes Kokkola	5:2

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