Match Info
LiigaDate: 17 September 2026, ThursdayLocation: Gatorade Center (Turku)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play |
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TPS |
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Tappara |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.55 |
4 |
2.25 |
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 |
2.60 |
4.00 |
2.25 |
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2.8 |
3.95 |
2.25 |
Watch |
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2.63 |
3.87 |
2.31 |
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 |
2.78 |
3.98 |
2.21 |
Watch |
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2.6 |
3.8 |
2.25 |
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 |
2.62 |
4.1 |
2.27 |
Watch |
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2.55 |
3.9 |
2.3 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.64 ↓ (2.75) |
3.95 (3.95) |
2.26 ↑ (2.2) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
- The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
TPS 35.3% | Draw 23.6% | Tappara 41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-1.6%)TPS - Tappara Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. TPS (votes: 1 - 100%). New Consensus by Tipsters:- Games O/U 5.5 - over (2.25) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.
- 1X2 - Tappara (1.80) (votes: 85%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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36. Makiniemi E. (G)
| 77. Metsola J. (G)
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38. Landen A.
| 26. Mattila Je.
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61. Binner A.
| 23. Jokipakka J.
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49. Wernblom L.
| 88. Blichfeld J.
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97. Haudum L.
| 22. Rasanen A. (A)
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22. Bryggman L.
| 25. Haapala H.
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| Line 2 |
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2. Tuhkala A.
| 72. Kulonummi K.
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40. Lehtonen S.
| 38. Almari N.
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25. Ikonen Jo.
| 11. Simontaival K.
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13. Paajanen O.
| 40. Sallinen T.
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86. Yliniemi S.
| 87. Fabre D.
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| Line 3 |
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6. Rafkin R.
| 63. Tuulola J. (A)
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44. Lindbohm P.
| 33. Strandell O.
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9. Koivu A.
| 28. Wia W.
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21. Maatta J.
| 42. Rauhala O. (C)
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24. Virtanen J.
| 17. Pavel O.
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| Line 4 |
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4. Chicoine G.
| 5. Rasanen I.
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10. Ylitalo N.
| 34. Vaarala V.
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84. Pikkarainen K.
| 41. Nykanen J.
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47. Kuru H.
| 89. Suvanto O.
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57. Munkki V.
| 94. Vanhatalo V.
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| Substitutes |
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30. Ruusu M. (G)
| 30. Heljanko C. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Soderholm T.
| . Jalonen K.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 13:59, 1 - 0, Virtanen J. (G), Koivu A. (A), Maatta J. (A2)
- 16:17, Binner A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 03:16, 2 - 0, Wernblom L. (G), Haudum L. (A), Chicoine G. (A2)
- 06:06, Pikkarainen K. (2 min),
- 11:42, Jokipakka J. (2 min),
- 13:20, Strandell O. (2 min),
- 18:01, Landen A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 00:01, Metsola J. ↓, Heljanko C. ↑,
- 05:58, Almari N. (2 min),
- 06:24, Pavel O. (2 min),
- 11:55, 3 - 0, Pikkarainen K. (G), Kuru H. (A),
- 14:47, Pavel O. (2 min),
- 14:47, Blichfeld J. (2 min),
- 15:14, 4 - 0, Binner A. (G), Haudum L. (A), Bryggman L. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 2.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Tappara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, TPS has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 45:66. (average 2.3:3.3).Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:36. (average 2.6:3.6).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Tappara: 25.24% TPS Turku: 3.47%
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 9 | Tappara | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 28:21 | 17 |
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| 11 | TPS Turku | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26:21 | 15 |
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Last Results with these Odds
TPS - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.94%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
Tappara - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.43%, but this team recently wins 26% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 24.01.26 | Tappara - TPS | 4:3 | | 17.01.26 | TPS - Tappara | 4:2 | | 13.12.25 | TPS - Tappara | 3:5 | | 23.09.25 | Tappara - TPS | 1:2 | | 01.03.25 | TPS - Tappara | 2:7 | | 28.02.25 | Tappara - TPS | 2:5 | | 02.11.24 | TPS - Tappara | 3:4 penalties |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;