The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kärpät 53.5%
Draw 22.6%
HPK 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.3%
24%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
25.3%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Kärpät - HPK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 1.
Kärpät has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
HPK is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bookmakers give the edge to Kärpät for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Kärpät in today's match, at odds of 1.73.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kärpät has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:46 (averaging 2.9:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kärpät against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 29:19 goals (averaging 3.2:2.1 per game).