The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SaiPa 45%
Draw 23.4%
Kärpät 31.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.8%
24.8%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
26%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
SaiPa - Kärpät Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Grigals G. (G)
41. Rubin N. (G)
6. Airola S. (A)
21. Matinmikko A.
22. Aho K.
25. Paaso A.
10. Emanuelsson E.
16. Okany A.
28. Intonen A.
33. Hirvonen R.
11. Fridrich P.
82. Pakkila E.
Line 2
2. Peski A.
9. Soini K.
50. Salminen S. (C)
26. Tichacek J.
62. Tauslahti M.
93. Kantner M.
41. Zabaneh N.
31. Koivistoinen E. (A)
81. Klintrup E.
73. Erholtz E. (C)
Line 3
14. Kramer B.
4. Ruotsalainen V.
55. Trejbal O.
2. Rissanen R.
70. Naukkarinen J. (A)
11. Tornqvist H.
34. Perttu M.
19. Tikka T.
75. Siikanen P.
27. Ratinen S.
Line 4
17. Svensk V.
61. Salmela T. (A)
19. Moilanen V.
62. Nilsson W.
57. Hokkanen O.
80. Korpimaki M.
92. Zezelj A.
59. Hermonen J.
Substitutes
16. Eloranta O.
8. Tieksola T.
30. Piiroinen K. (G)
32. Vedenpaa V. (G)
Coaches
. Helminen R.
. Karjalainen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
09:48, (2 min),
11:08, Tauslahti M. (2 min),
19:04, Soini K. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
18:09, 0 - 1, Pakkila E. (G), Okany A. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:00, Ruotsalainen V. (2 min),
07:31, 1 - 1, Salminen S. (G), Emanuelsson E. (A), Svensk V. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Hirvonen R. (Penalty Shot),
1, Klintrup E. (Penalty Shot),
2, Okany A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Fridrich P. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kantner M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Emanuelsson E. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 4.
In recent outings, SaiPa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kärpät shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Kärpät could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, SaiPa has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with SaiPa holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SaiPa has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:71 (averaging 2.8:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SaiPa against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 31:41 goals (averaging 3.1:4.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Karpat
19
7
4
4
4
52:50
33
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Saipa: 5.33%
Last Results with these Odds
SaiPa - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.79%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Kärpät - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.4%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Grigals G. (G) 
Rubin N. (G) 
Airola S. (A) 
Fridrich P. 
Peski A. 
Kramer B. 
Zezelj A. 
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