The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JYP 57.4%
Draw 21.7%
HPK 20.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.4%
24.4%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.5%
24.4%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JYP's performance.
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JYP that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
JYP - HPK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Setanen O. (G)
65. Crespin J. (G)
44. Vatanen S.
43. Kukkonen M. (A)
31. Peltola E.
4. Jokirinne V.
77. Tukiainen L.
95. Ranford B.
28. Lassila J. (C)
12. Paivarinta S. (C)
17. Makinen O.
10. Vesterinen R.
Line 2
63. Bourque T. (A)
7. Pyke G.
3. Arola J.
91. Piipponen S.
39. Ojantakanen V.
23. Kuusisto O.
8. Newkirk R.
15. Korhonen O.
82. Pesonen H. (A)
11. de Jong E.
Line 3
55. Ohtamaa A.
38. Wallenius E.
32. Setkov M.
16. Gabrielsson H.
92. Vidgren A.
34. Palola O.
7. True A.
25. Huttunen H.
40. Torgersson D.
81. Oden J.
Line 4
22. Vaisanen V.
93. Makinen I.
71. Puustinen J.
5. Andzans A.
14. Costmar A.
28. Kukuca A.
27. Korjus J.
64. Kainulainen H. (A)
8. Alitalo V.
Substitutes
16. Liljamo T.
1. Saarinen K. (G)
35. Salminen O. (G)
Coaches
. Matikainen P.
. Manner M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
12:33, Ohtamaa A. (2 min),
15:07, Alitalo V. (2 min),
16:58, 1 - 0, Torgersson D. (G), Lassila J. (A), Arola J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
06:25, Jokirinne V. (2 min),
06:25, Vidgren A. (2 min),
11:07, Setkov M. (2 min),
11:24, Crespin J. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
07:04, 1 - 1, Kuusisto O. (G), Korhonen O. (A),
11:10, 2 - 1, Newkirk R. (G), Arola J. (A), Bourque T. (A2)
17:39, 3 - 1, Ohtamaa A. (G), Newkirk R. (A),
19:13, 3 - 2, Ranford B. (G), Oden J. (A), Paivarinta S. (A2)
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 11th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
JYP could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to JYP for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, JYP has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:58 (averaging 2.5:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for JYP against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 22:20 goals (averaging 2.8:2.5 per game).