Match Info

Liiga

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kisapuisto (Lappeenranta) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:30	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	17:30	TV4 Play


	SaiPa		HPK

	1	X	2
	1.76	4.25	3.60
	1.75	4.10	3.75
	1.80	3.90	3.90	Watch
	1.83	3.85	3.74
	1.85	3.9	3.69	Watch
	1.81	3.80	3.70
	1.80	4.30	3.65	Watch
	1.80	4.00	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.82)	4.01 ↓ (4.03)	3.7 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
51.7%

Draw
23.2%

HPK
25.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.2%

23.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

SaiPa - HPK Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Grigals G. (G)	1. Saarinen K. (G)
6. Airola S. (A)	43. Kukkonen M. (A)
22. Aho K.	4. Jokirinne V.
10. Emanuelsson E.	95. Ranford B.
28. Intonen A.	12. Paivarinta S. (C)
11. Fridrich P.	10. Vesterinen R.
Line 2
2. Peski A.	19. Jussila N.
50. Salminen S. (C)	38. Wallenius E.
62. Tauslahti M.	34. Palola O.
41. Zabaneh N.	25. Huttunen H.
52. Palmu P.	8. Alitalo V.
Line 3
14. Kramer B.	7. Pyke G.
55. Trejbal O.	16. Gabrielsson H.
70. Naukkarinen J. (A)	11. de Jong E.
34. Perttu M.	15. Korhonen O.
75. Siikanen P.	28. Kukuca A.
Line 4
17. Svensk V.	5. Andzans A.
81. Klintrup E.	81. Oden J.
57. Hokkanen O.	64. Kainulainen H. (A)
92. Zezelj A.	44. Kopiloff O.
Substitutes
19. Moilanen V.	65. Crespin J. (G)
30. Piiroinen K. (G)	92. Fagerstrom V.
Coaches
. Helminen R.	. Manner M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:08, 1 - 0, Kramer B. (G), Zezelj A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:36, Kainulainen H. (2 min),
03:43, 2 - 0, Palmu P. (G), Perttu M. (A), Kramer B. (A2)
13:11, Trejbal O. (2 min),
13:11, Vesterinen R. (2 min),
14:20, Korhonen O. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:22, Palmu P. (Penalty Shot),
08:07, Salminen S. (2 min),
11:50, Pyke G. (2 min),
19:15, Trejbal O. (2 min),
19:21, 2 - 1, Jokirinne V. (G), Kopiloff O. (A), Paivarinta S. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 4.

In recent outings, SaiPa has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

HPK shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

HPK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with SaiPa holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, SaiPa has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:46 (averaging 2.8:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SaiPa against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 27:29 goals (averaging 2.7:2.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
14	Hameenlinna	19	5	3	0	11	39:55	21

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Saipa: 5.33% Hameenlinna: 2.13%

Last Results with these Odds

SaiPa - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.17%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

HPK - the odds 3.63 are the expected chance of winning is 25.69%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa hockey
Champions League Ice Hockey
14.10.26	SaiPa - HC Plzeň 1929	3:6 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
08.10.26	SaiPa - JYP	1:2 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
06.10.26	Graz 99ers - SaiPa	1:3 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
03.10.26	SaiPa - Jokerit	3:2 ✺
02.10.26	KalPa - SaiPa	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL
- HPK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
10.10.26	HPK - KooKoo	5:3 ✺
09.10.26	Ässät - HPK	2:3 penalties ✺
03.10.26	HPK - Kärpät	2:1 OT ✺
02.10.26	HPK - JYP	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Jokerit - HPK	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
28.02.26	SaiPa - HPK	0:3
27.02.26	HPK - SaiPa	1:5
10.10.25	HPK - SaiPa	1:2
01.10.25	SaiPa - HPK	3:2 OT
14.03.25	HPK - SaiPa	2:3
19.02.25	SaiPa - HPK	3:5
05.12.24	HPK - SaiPa	1:5

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