The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HPK 54.1%
Draw 23.3%
Pelicans 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
22.2%
29.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
23.7%
31.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPK's performance.
Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pelicans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HPK that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pelicans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HPK - Pelicans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Saarinen K. (G)
32. Bartosak P. (G)
43. Kukkonen M.
4. Johannesen J.
4. Jokirinne V.
47. Jordan M. (A)
16. Wright C.
37. Dudas A.
12. Paivarinta S.
95. Batna O.
94. Hakulinen A. (A)
10. Karvinen R.
Line 2
63. Eronen E.
61. Jurgens C. (C)
20. Pyke G.
55. Falk H.
64. Kainulainen H. (A)
74. Teutari E.
15. Korhonen O.
23. Forsberg C. (A)
11. Caron T.
82. Kettunen A.
Line 3
51. Ketonen A.
77. Kayhko O.
74. Nikkila P. (C)
83. Luhanka E.
88. Kiiskinen J.
28. Zetterberg L.
25. Huttunen H.
7. Stapley B.
10. Vesterinen R.
96. Kumpula J.
Line 4
3. Kangas K.
49. Amhamdi O.
50. Skinnari A.
93. Nieminen K.
23. Loponen M.
29. Vaananen M.
8. Alitalo V.
20. Hirvonen K.
Substitutes
33. Vayrynen M. (G)
1. Emond Z. (G)
Coaches
. Manner M.
. Kapanen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
09:53, 0 - 1, Jordan M. (G), Karvinen R. (A), Batna O. (A2)
10:59, 0 - 2, Kumpula J. (G), Zetterberg L. (A), Stapley B. (A2)
18:27, Amhamdi O. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:05, 1 - 2, Loponen M. (G), Paivarinta S. (A), Kukkonen M. (A2)
03:27, Amhamdi O. (5 min),
03:27, Skinnari A. (2 min),
12:40, 1 - 3, Batna O. (G), Nieminen K. (A), Jurgens C. (A2)
16:04, Loponen M. (2 min),
16:57, 1 - 4, Karvinen R. (G), Stapley B. (A), Jordan M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
04:31, Teutari E. (2 min),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Pelicans is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Pelicans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
HPK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 46:50. (average 2.3:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 2.9:2).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Hameenlinna: 2.23%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
10
Hameenlinna
12
4
3
0
5
28:35
18
12
Pelicans
10
5
0
1
4
24:23
16
Last Results with these Odds
Pelicans - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 29.17%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Saarinen K. (G) 
Bartosak P. (G) 
Johannesen J. 
Wright C. 
Batna O. 
Falk H. 
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