The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HPK 33.7%
Draw 25.4%
Pelicans 40.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.4%
26.4%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
27.2%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Pelicans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
HPK - Pelicans Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. HPK will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Saarinen K. (G)
32. Bartosak P. (G)
43. Kukkonen M. (A)
15. Lerby C.
4. Jokirinne V.
65. Nutivaara M. (A)
95. Ranford B.
12. Hamalainen S.
12. Paivarinta S. (C)
95. Batna O.
10. Vesterinen R.
9. Fortier G.
Line 2
7. Pyke G.
44. Kousa M.
91. Piipponen S.
49. Amhamdi O.
23. Kuusisto O.
37. Dudas A.
15. Korhonen O.
7. Stapley B.
11. de Jong E.
96. Kumpula J.
Line 3
38. Wallenius E.
55. Falk H.
16. Gabrielsson H.
47. Jordan M. (C)
34. Palola O.
27. Lind O.
25. Huttunen H.
87. Myklukha O.
81. Oden J.
82. Kettunen A.
Line 4
5. Andzans A.
4. Johannesen J.
28. Kukuca A.
29. Vaananen M.
64. Kainulainen H. (A)
23. Forsberg C. (A)
8. Alitalo V.
91. Pohjalainen A.
Substitutes
65. Crespin J. (G)
45. Olkinuora J. (G)
92. Fagerstrom V.
74. Teutari E.
Coaches
. Manner M.
. Kapanen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
06:13, Falk H. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:01, 0 - 1, Pohjalainen A. (G), Forsberg C. (A), Nutivaara M. (A2)
05:47, 1 - 1, Kuusisto O. (G), Kukkonen M. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
05:53, Huttunen H. (2 min),
11:35, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
19:48, 1 - 2, Kousa M. (G), Dudas A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:32, 1 - 3, Fortier G. (G), Vaananen M. (A), Falk H. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 2.
HPK has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Pelicans have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
HPK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for HPK in today's match, at odds of 2.6.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HPK has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:51 (averaging 2.3:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HPK against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 27:22 goals (averaging 2.7:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
12
Pelicans
16
7
1
1
7
40:35
24
14
Hameenlinna
19
5
3
0
11
39:55
21
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Hameenlinna: 2.07%
Last Results with these Odds
Pelicans - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.26%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Saarinen K. (G) 
Bartosak P. (G) 
Lerby C. 
Ranford B. 
Batna O. 
Myklukha O. 
Johannesen J. 
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