Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Kärpät U20		SaiPa U20

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.77	4.66	Watch
	1.4	4.6	5
	1.44	4.95	4.99
	1.45	5.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.51)	4.96 ↑ (4.77)	4.66 (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kärpät U20
62.4%

Draw
18.2%

SaiPa U20
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

19.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21.4%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kärpät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

SaiPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kärpät U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa U20 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
18:51, 1 - 0, Pinola E. (G), Vierimaa W. (A), Multas R. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:42, 2 - 0, Alasiurua A. (G), Viita F. (A), Jung S. (A2)
08:35, 2 - 1, Zezelj A. (G),
18:59, 3 - 1, Blazek V. (G), Pinola E. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
06:36, 4 - 1, Karassaari J. (G), Jurvelin L. (A), Kylmala O. (A2)
15:29, 4 - 2, Svensk S. (G),
18:42, 5 - 2, Jung S. (G), Alasiurua A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Kärpät U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 60:38. (average 4:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 3.8:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Karpat U20	12	5	3	0	4	40:35	21
15	SaiPa U20	9	2	2	1	4	27:35	11

Last Results with these Odds

SaiPa U20 - the odds 4.66 are the expected chance of winning is 19.75%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kärpät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
09.01.26	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Ässät U20 - Kärpät U20	5:0 ✺
03.01.26	TPS U20 - Kärpät U20	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	2:3 penalties ✺
19.12.25	KooKoo U20 - Kärpät U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWL
- SaiPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
09.01.26	RoKi U20 - SaiPa U20	3:6 ✺
04.01.26	JYP U20 - SaiPa U20	4:5 penalties ✺
03.01.26	HPK U20 - SaiPa U20	4:2 ✺
20.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	2:3 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Ilves U20 - SaiPa U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.12.25	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	2:3 penalties
07.12.24	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	4:5
24.10.24	Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20	4:3 penalties
08.12.23	Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20	4:3 OT
03.11.23	SaiPa U20 - Kärpät U20	1:8
18.11.22	Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20	4:0
22.10.21	Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20	4:2

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