The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kiekko-Espoo 33.1%
Draw 24.1%
HPK 42.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.3%
22.9%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
24.6%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kiekko-Espoo's form might have worsened.
HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HPK's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kiekko-Espoo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HPK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
15:38, 0 - 1, Alitalo V. (G), Kukkonen M. (A), Nikkila P. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:52, Kopiloff O. (2 min),
08:37, 1 - 1, Katavisto A. (G), Vaisanen J. (A), Jurmo J. (A2)
13:53, 1 - 2, Skinnari A. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Jokirinne V. (A2)
18:06, Komarov L. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:11, 2 - 2, Hamalainen J. (G), Quenneville P. (A), Tuomaala A. (A2)
12:59, Caron T. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:54, 2 - 3, Kiiskinen J. (G), Huttunen H. (A),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 1.
Recent performances by Kiekko-Espoo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
HPK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Kiekko-Espoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:24. (average 2.1:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
10
Kiekko-Espoo
18
6
2
3
7
54:48
25
14
Hameenlinna
18
5
3
0
10
38:51
21
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Kiekko-Espoo: 3.79% Hameenlinna: 2.15%
Last Results with these Odds
Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.34%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
HPK - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.77%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Finland
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