Match Info

Liiga

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Espoo Metro Areena (Espoo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	17:00	MTV Katsomo+


	Kiekko-Espoo		SaiPa

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.3	2.05
	2.95	4.16	2.12
	3.01	3.97	2.09	Watch
	2.8	3.9	2
	2.7	4.25	2.19	Watch
	3.1	3.85	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.29)	4.07 ↓ (4.14)	2.09 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiekko-Espoo
32.2%

Draw
23%

SaiPa
44.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

22.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

24.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kiekko-Espoo's form might have worsened.

SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SaiPa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SaiPa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Kiekko Espoo - SaiPa Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
60. Taponen R. (G)	31. Grigals G. (G)
3. Keskitalo M. (A)	50. Salminen S. (A)
51. Nakyva K. (A)	26. Kivihalme T.
89. Quenneville P.	51. Kalapudas A.
78. Tuomaala A.	15. Salomaki M. (A)
28. Hamalainen J.	25. Kuusla E.
Line 2
7. Jurmo J.	14. Kramer B.
34. Laakso A.	55. Trejbal O.
16. Vaisanen J.	41. Fortier M.
8. Hillis C.	82. Nikkanen H.
4. Kangasniemi I.	10. Kivenmaki O.
Line 3
21. Peltomaki N.	6. Airola S.
55. Aronsson A.	7. Niinisaari S. (C)
18. Leppanen O.	75. Siikanen P.
75. Virtanen S. (C)	12. Bau S.
40. Sallinen T.	70. Naukkarinen J.
Line 4
23. Heinanen A.	81. Klintrup E.
22. Katavisto A.	57. Hokkanen O.
37. Hirschovits J.	18. Heikkila J.
24. Pakarinen N.
Substitutes
35. Rajaniemi S. (G)	33. Karhunen T. (G)
Coaches
. Aho J.	. Helminen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
04:15, 1 - 0, Hillis C. (G), Kangasniemi I. (A), Nakyva K. (A2)
17:08, Airola S. (2 min),
20:00, Kivihalme T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:15, Hillis C. (2 min),
08:33, Fortier M. (2 min),
09:18, Kramer B. (2 min),
10:04, 2 - 0, Quenneville P. (G), Nakyva K. (A), Kangasniemi I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 4)
00:40, Hillis C. (2 min),
02:08, 2 - 1, Nikkanen H. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A), Siikanen P. (A2)
02:28, 2 - 2, Hokkanen O. (G), Trejbal O. (A), Kramer B. (A2)
04:13, Nakyva K. (2 min),
08:13, 2 - 3, Salomaki M. (G), Fortier M. (A), Kivenmaki O. (A2)
12:08, 3 - 3, Tuomaala A. (G), Quenneville P. (A), Hamalainen J. (A2)
15:08, 3 - 4, Kivihalme T. (G), Fortier M. (A), Salminen S. (A2)
16:15, Laakso A. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kiekko-Espoo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 2.9:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Kiekko-Espoo	18	6	2	3	7	54:48	25

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Saipa: 5.38% Kiekko-Espoo: 3.79%

Last Results with these Odds

Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.74%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

SaiPa - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.73%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga
09.01.26	HPK - Kiekko-Espoo	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Tappara	2:5 ✺
27.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo - TPS	8:1 ✺
26.12.25	TPS - Kiekko-Espoo	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Kiekko-Espoo - Ilves	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWL
- SaiPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
09.01.26	SaiPa - TPS	1:4 ✺
07.01.26	Lukko - SaiPa	3:4 ✺
05.01.26	KooKoo - SaiPa	3:4 ✺
03.01.26	SaiPa - KooKoo	2:3 penalties ✺
27.12.25	KalPa - SaiPa	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
29.11.25	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	4:1
24.09.25	Kiekko-Espoo - SaiPa	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.25	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	2:3 OT
09.08.25	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	5:1
Finnish SM-liiga
12.02.25	Kiekko-Espoo - SaiPa	3:0
28.12.24	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	5:4 penalties
01.10.24	Kiekko-Espoo - SaiPa	2:0

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