The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pelicans 36.8%
Draw 25.5%
HPK 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
23.6%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
25.9%
38.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Pelicans - HPK Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Emond Z. (G)
1. Saarinen K. (G)
4. Johannesen J.
43. Kukkonen M.
47. Jordan M. (A)
4. Jokirinne V.
37. Dudas A.
16. Wright C.
95. Batna O.
12. Paivarinta S.
10. Karvinen R.
94. Hakulinen A. (A)
Line 2
61. Jurgens C. (C)
63. Eronen E.
55. Falk H.
20. Pyke G.
74. Teutari E.
88. Kiiskinen J.
23. Forsberg C.
15. Korhonen O.
82. Kettunen A.
11. Caron T.
Line 3
44. Kousa M. (A)
74. Nikkila P. (C)
77. Kayhko O.
5. Andzans A.
28. Zetterberg L.
64. Kainulainen H. (A)
7. Stapley B.
25. Huttunen H.
96. Kumpula J.
10. Vesterinen R.
Line 4
83. Luhanka E.
3. Kangas K.
93. Nieminen K.
50. Skinnari A.
29. Vaananen M.
23. Loponen M.
92. Virtanen N.
8. Alitalo V.
Substitutes
32. Bartosak P. (G)
33. Vayrynen M. (G)
Coaches
. Kapanen S.
. Manner M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
08:17, 0 - 1, Kainulainen H. (G), Huttunen H. (A), Eronen E. (A2)
14:52, Nieminen K. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:49, 0 - 2, Nikkila P. (G), Caron T. (A), Korhonen O. (A2)
05:29, Kumpula J. (2 min),
11:14, Jurgens C. (2 min),
12:08, Jokirinne V. (2 min),
13:11, 1 - 2, Kousa M. (G), Batna O. (A), Dudas A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:29, Kettunen A. (2 min),
10:15, 2 - 2, Falk H. (G), Stapley B. (A), Kumpula J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Caron T. (Penalty Shot),
1, Karvinen R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Paivarinta S. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kumpula J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Vesterinen R. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelicans won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 49:45. (average 2.5:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pelicans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:18. (average 2.9:1.8).
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Emond Z. (G) 
Saarinen K. (G) 
Johannesen J. 
Jordan M. (A) 
Batna O. 
Falk H. 
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