The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HPK 42.1%
Draw 23.5%
TPS 34.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.3%
24.9%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
26.6%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-5%)
HPK - TPS Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Saarinen K. (G)
30. Ruusu M. (G)
43. Kukkonen M. (A)
38. Landen A.
39. Nychuk C.
61. Binner A.
81. Oden J.
49. Wernblom L.
12. Paivarinta S. (A)
97. Haudum L.
94. Hakulinen A. (C)
22. Bryggman L. (A)
Line 2
7. Pyke G.
2. Tuhkala A.
4. Jokirinne V.
40. Lehtonen S.
11. de Jong E.
25. Ikonen Jo.
29. MacEachern C.
13. Paajanen O. (C)
95. Ranford B.
86. Yliniemi S.
Line 3
5. Andzans A.
6. Rafkin R. (A)
38. Wallenius E.
44. Lindbohm P.
28. Kukuca A.
9. Koivu A.
15. Korhonen O.
21. Maatta J.
10. Vesterinen R.
24. Virtanen J.
Line 4
16. Gabrielsson H.
4. Chicoine G.
25. Huttunen H.
84. Pikkarainen K.
64. Kainulainen H.
47. Kuru H.
8. Alitalo V.
57. Munkki V.
Substitutes
65. Crespin J. (G)
36. Makiniemi E. (G)
44. Kopiloff O.
10. Ylitalo N.
Coaches
. Manner M.
. Soderholm T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
00:59, Binner A. (2 min),
03:19, Bryggman L. (2 min),
05:27, 1 - 0, Vesterinen R. (G), Kainulainen H. (A), Kukkonen M. (A2)
10:04, Hakulinen A. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
01:52, Jokirinne V. (2 min),
03:06, Pyke G. (2 min),
06:37, Virtanen J. (2 min),
14:36, Pikkarainen K. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:43, 1 - 1, Paajanen O. (G), Landen A. (A),
04:32, 2 - 1, Kukkonen M. (G), MacEachern C. (A), Ranford B. (A2)
13:23, Wallenius E. (5 min),
18:47, 3 - 1, Jokirinne V. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
TPS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, TPS has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HPK has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:60 (averaging 1.9:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HPK against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 16:28 goals (averaging 1.6:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
TPS Turku
18
8
1
2
7
51:47
28
14
Hameenlinna
18
5
3
0
10
38:51
21
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
TPS Turku: 5.3% Hameenlinna: 2.15%
Last Results with these Odds
HPK - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.29%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
TPS - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 33.81%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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Saarinen K. (G) 
Landen A. 
Nychuk C. 
Haudum L. 
Andzans A. 
Kukuca A. 
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