Match Info
LiigaDate: 3 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: Pohjantahti-Areena (Hämeenlinna)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
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HPK |
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Mikkelin Jukurit |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.3 |
4 |
2.6 |
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 |
2.41 |
3.81 |
2.67 |
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 |
2.33 |
4.11 |
2.63 |
 Watch |
 |
2.25 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
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 |
2.34 |
3.96 |
2.58 |
Watch |
 |
2.45 |
3.75 |
2.6 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.16) |
3.87 ↑
(3.66) |
2.6 ↓
(3.11) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
- The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
HPK
39.8% | Draw
24.1% | Mikkelin Jukurit
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mikkelin Jukurit's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for HPK than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HPK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mikkelin Jukurit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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33.  Karhunen T. (G)
| 29.  Buitenhuis E. (G)
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63. Eronen E. (A)
| 53. Korkola N.
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74. Nikkila P. (C)
| 3. Arola J.
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16. Wright C.
| 10.  Olsen T.
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12. Paivarinta S.
| 16.  Ford C. (A)
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15. Korhonen O.
| 76. Hamalainen S.
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| Line 2 |
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43. Kukkonen M.
| 58.  Johansson K.
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4. Jokirinne V.
| 70. Saari E.
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50. Skinnari A.
| 54. Piitulainen J. (C)
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64. Kainulainen H. (A)
| 89. Tammela J.
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8. Alitalo V.
| 52. Hynninen T.
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| Line 3 |
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51. Ketonen A.
| 71. Romppanen N.
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6. Sertti L.
| 7. Worge Kreu W.
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44. Kopiloff O.
| 82. Ruuttu A. (A)
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25. Huttunen H.
| 20.  Addamo J.
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19. Rautiainen T.
| 40. Boudon L.
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| Line 4 |
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3. Kangas K.
| 19. Tiihonen L.
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81. Aaltonen S.
| 96. Frilander J.
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23. Loponen M.
| 18. Sandvik V.
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92. Makinen I.
| 63. Heikkinen L.
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| Substitutes |
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29. Sinclair M. (G)
| 1. Herpin M. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Manner M.
| . Virtanen J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 05:47, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 11:55, 1 - 0, Kukkonen M. (G), Jokirinne V. (A), Huttunen H. (A2)
- 14:13, 2 - 0, Paivarinta S. (G), Kukkonen M. (A), Wright C. (A2)
- 18:08, Ford C. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 07:29, Ruuttu A. (2 min),
- 15:48, Alitalo V. (2 min),
- 18:39, 2 - 1, Olsen T. (G), Tammela J. (A),
- 19:49, 3 - 1, Rautiainen T. (G), Kukkonen M. (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 3.HPK is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Jukurit has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).HPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 58:59. (average 2.9:3).Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 2.9:2).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 27.09.25 | Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK | 1:3 | | 30.11.24 | HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit | 3:0 | | 10.09.24 | Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK | 7:3 | | 01.02.24 | Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK | 7:1 | | 19.12.23 | HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit | 3:2 | | 13.10.23 | Mikkelin Jukurit - HPK | 3:4 OT | | 20.09.23 | HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit | 1:4 |
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