The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kiekko-Espoo 28.2%
Draw 23.8%
Ilves 47.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
24.4%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.6%
23.8%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Kiekko Espoo - Ilves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
39. Pavlat D. (G)
51. Nakyva K.
23. Johansson S.
3. Keskitalo M. (A)
57. Parikka J.
89. Quenneville P.
29. Looke J.
78. Tuomaala A.
12. Mantykivi M.
4. Kangasniemi I.
92. Henman L.
Line 2
6. Laatikainen M.
3. Utunen T. (A)
34. Laakso A.
28. Nyberg J.
88. Rask J. (C)
46. Torok M.
8. Hillis C.
9. Jasek L.
28. Hamalainen J.
17. Ratinen S.
Line 3
21. Peltomaki N.
21. Kucerik R.
7. Jurmo J.
5. Niskanen A.
18. Leppanen O.
34. Palola O.
75. Virtanen S. (A)
11. Borg E. (A)
40. Sallinen T.
22. Engberg T.
Line 4
2. Arkiomaa V.
43. Latvala O.
24. Pakarinen N.
72. Svejkovsky L.
37. Hirschovits J.
86. Nattinen J. (C)
16. Vaisanen J.
20. Bjorkqvist K.
Substitutes
1. Karjalainen A. (G)
60. Taponen R. (G)
Coaches
. Aho J.
. Niemela T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
09:58, Virtanen S. (2 min),
10:20, 0 - 1, Johansson S. (G), Looke J. (A), Henman L. (A2)
14:43, 0 - 2, Borg E. (G), Johansson S. (A), Palola O. (A2)
16:00, Quenneville P. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:30, Kucerik R. (2 min),
07:12, 1 - 2, Sallinen T. (G), Nakyva K. (A), Quenneville P. (A2)
09:24, Hamalainen J. (2 min),
13:03, Nyberg J. (2 min),
13:52, 2 - 2, Kangasniemi I. (G), Nakyva K. (A), Rask J. (A2)
17:39, 2 - 3, Borg E. (G), Palola O. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
08:26, Ratinen S. (2 min),
09:42, Nakyva K. (2 min),
11:58, 2 - 4, Borg E. (G), Nyberg J. (A), Palola O. (A2)
16:12, 2 - 5, Palola O. (G), Parikka J. (A), Bjorkqvist K. (A2)
19:25, Jurmo J. (2 min),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2.
Recent form of Kiekko-Espoo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ilves is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Kiekko-Espoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ilves might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 2.6:4.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 3:4).
Last Results with these Odds
Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.36%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Ilves - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.2%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Finland
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Rajaniemi S. (G) 
Pavlat D. (G) 
Johansson S. 
Quenneville P. 
Torok M. 
Svejkovsky L. 
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