Match Info

Liiga

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Lumon Areena (Kouvola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	KooKoo		Ilves

	1	X	2
	2.55	4.3	2.25
	2.85	3.7	2.3	Watch
	2.63	3.86	2.32
	2.61	4.01	2.3
	2.5	3.8	2.2
	2.59	4.15	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.01)	3.97 ↓ (4.16)	2.27 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KooKoo
35.5%

Draw
23.5%

Ilves
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

22.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

23.8%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KooKoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KooKoo's form might have worsened.

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KooKoo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

KooKoo - Ilves Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilves (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Randelin E. (G)	39. Pavlat D. (G)
43. Loponen K.	23. Johansson S.
7. Parssinen J.	57. Parikka J.
82. Meskanen V.	29. Looke J.
71. Siikonen M. (A)	9. Jasek L.
88. Rooba R. (A)	17. Ratinen S.
Line 2
28. Ahlroth J.	53. Pelli A.
42. Suomi J.	21. Kucerik R.
55. Gallo V.	46. Torok M.
70. Davidsson M.	12. Mantykivi M.
24. Miettinen V.	92. Henman L.
Line 3
17. Grondahl A.	6. Soini S.
6. Riekkinen J.	28. Nyberg J.
18. Oden J.	48. Klingberg C. (A)
13. Paajanen O. (C)	11. Borg E. (A)
22. Luoto O.	22. Engberg T.
Line 4
77. Puhakka V.	43. Latvala O.
15. Jaakola O.	89. Quenneville P.
20. Valkeejarvi S.	86. Nattinen J. (C)
10. Sulku S.	25. Heikkinen I.
Substitutes
35. Heikkinen S. (G)	40. Armalis M. (G)
Coaches
. Myrra J.	. Niemela T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
02:48, Ahlroth J. (2 min),
03:12, Klingberg C. (2 min),
19:59, Jasek L. (2 min),
19:59, Kucerik R. (2 min),
19:59, Paajanen O. (2 min),
19:59, Gallo V. (2 min),
19:59, Ahlroth J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:31, Johansson S. (2 min),
06:35, 1 - 0, Siikonen M. (G), Rooba R. (A), Loponen K. (A2)
08:00, Riekkinen J. (2 min),
14:02, Ahlroth J. (2 min),
16:01, Engberg T. (2 min),
19:43, Klingberg C. (2 min),
3rd Period (4 - 1)
07:37, 2 - 0, Meskanen V. (G), Siikonen M. (A), Grondahl A. (A2)
10:43, Torok M. (2 min),
10:43, Loponen K. (2 min),
10:53, Jasek L. (5 min),
11:13, 3 - 0, Meskanen V. (G), Sulku S. (A), Parssinen J. (A2)
13:09, 3 - 1, Borg E. (G),
14:15, 4 - 1, Jaakola O. (G), Gallo V. (A), Oden J. (A2)
16:30, 5 - 1, Riekkinen J. (G), Grondahl A. (A),
19:13, Ahlroth J. (2 min),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 3.

KooKoo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ilves has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ilves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, KooKoo has had a series of away games.

KooKoo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 44:65. (average 2.2:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, KooKoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:33. (average 2.3:3.7).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

KooKoo: 1.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Ilves	12	8	1	0	3	36:24	26
17	KooKoo	12	1	0	1	10	25:52	4

Last Results with these Odds

KooKoo - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.9%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KooKoo
Finnish SM-liiga
27.02.26	JYP - KooKoo	2:3 ✺
25.02.26	Vaasan Sport - KooKoo	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	SaiPa - KooKoo	6:2 ✺
18.02.26	KooKoo - Kärpät	4:3 ✺
14.02.26	HPK - KooKoo	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW
- Ilves hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
25.02.26	Pelicans - Ilves	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	KalPa - Ilves	3:4 ✺
17.02.26	Ilves - Lukko	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Ilves - Mikkelin Jukurit	6:2 ✺
13.02.26	Tappara - Ilves	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
06.02.26	Ilves - KooKoo	1:3
13.12.25	KooKoo - Ilves	1:2
12.12.25	Ilves - KooKoo	3:0
08.03.25	Ilves - KooKoo	1:2 penalties
21.12.24	KooKoo - Ilves	5:4 OT
02.11.24	KooKoo - Ilves	3:4
25.09.24	Ilves - KooKoo	5:2

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