The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saginaw Spirit 48.1%
Draw 20.8%
Kitchener Rangers 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.3%
21.6%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
24%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saginaw Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saginaw Spirit's performance.
Kitchener Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kitchener Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saginaw Spirit that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kitchener Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Saginaw Spirit - Kitchener Rangers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Knowling B. (G)
30. Hriczov M. (G)
72. Barnes B.
73. Andreev R.
18. Bate D.
9. Anstis A.
42. Cloutier J.
11. Arquette C.
95. Geldart G.
89. Bilecki A. (A)
5. Glavin J. (A)
17. Cameron W.
88. Hanrahan R.
13. Ellis H.
7. Khotkov G.
91. Forrest A.
86. Lauder K.
29. Gombar J.
12. Leenders H.
55. Kut T.
24. Martyniuk T.
93. LaBrash J.
2. Meyer K.
37. Lam T. (A)
93. Milojevic A.
15. Massimi L.
62. Pepoy B. (A)
98. Puglisi C.
10. Savin D.
44. Roberson R.
90. Schmidt S.
77. Robinson I.
17. Velliaris X.
86. Romano L. (A)
66. Wassilyn B.
23. Santala L.
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
21. Schneider K.
Substitutes
63. Shurygin S. (G)
39. Schaubel J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
04:38, 0 - 1, Arquette C. (G), Lam T. (A),
12:07, 1 - 1, Wassilyn B. (G), Zhilkin D. (A), Martyniuk T. (A2)
18:39, 2 - 1, Pepoy B. (G), Cloutier J. (A), Martyniuk T. (A2)
19:27, 2 - 2, Ellis H. (G), Arquette C. (A), Gombar J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:23, 3 - 2, Wassilyn B. (G), Hanrahan R. (A), Zhilkin D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:08, 4 - 2, Zhilkin D. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Kitchener may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Saginaw has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:78 (averaging 3.3:3.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Saginaw against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 37:36 goals (averaging 3.7:3.6 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Kitchener Rangers - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.14%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
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Knowling B. (G) 
Barnes B. 
Andreev R. 
Gombar J. 
Santala L. 
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