Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 9

Date: 22 February 2024, Thursday


	Kitzbühel		EHC Lustenau

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.5	3.5
	1.66	4.5	3.45
	1.75	4.5	2.95
	1.8	4.48	3.61
	1.76	4.7	3.27
	1.68	4.5	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	4.53 ↓ (4.66)	3.39 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kitzbühel
53%

Draw
20.1%

EHC Lustenau
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

19.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

19.4%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kitzbühel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

EHC Lustenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Lustenau than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Kitzbühel - EHC Lustenau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kitzbühel won 1.

Kitzbühel is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lustenau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kitzbühel will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Kitzbühel won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 23 matches and goals 89-129.

Including matches at home between the teams Kitzbühel won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 48-62.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Kitzbühel
Alps Hockey League
17.02.24	Kitzbühel - Fassa	5:2 ✺
15.02.24	KAC II - Kitzbühel	1:6 ✺
03.02.24	Kitzbühel - KAC II	6:1 ✺
01.02.24	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	6:4 ✺
25.01.24	Kitzbühel - Unterland Cavaliers	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW
- EHC Lustenau
Alps Hockey League
17.02.24	EHC Lustenau - KAC II	7:2 ✺
15.02.24	Unterland Cavaliers - EHC Lustenau	5:4 ✺
03.02.24	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	6:7 ✺
01.02.24	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	6:4 ✺
27.01.24	KAC II - EHC Lustenau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
01.02.24	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	6:4
12.10.23	Kitzbühel - EHC Lustenau	4:5 OT
23.09.23	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	4:3 OT
04.02.23	Kitzbühel - EHC Lustenau	4:3
21.01.23	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	3:2 penalties
08.12.22	Kitzbühel - EHC Lustenau	6:0
06.10.22	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	4:5 penalties

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