The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
KooKoo 59.6%
Draw 20.3%
TPS 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
21.4%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
22.5%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KooKoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in KooKoo's performance.
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TPS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KooKoo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KooKoo - TPS Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Randelin E. (G)
1. Niittymaki A. (G)
7. Parssinen J.
5. Sjoholm V.
41. Berger J.
61. Binner A.
82. Meskanen V.
49. Wernblom L.
71. Siikonen M.
86. Yliniemi S.
88. Rooba R.
19. Savinainen V.
Line 2
28. Ahlroth J.
6. Rafkin R.
42. Suomi J.
40. Lehtonen S.
10. Sulku S.
87. Saarela A.
70. Davidsson M.
20. Myllymaa K.
24. Miettinen V.
82. Pakkila E.
Line 3
17. Grondahl A.
2. Tuhkala A.
6. Riekkinen J.
66. Reunanen T.
22. Luoto O.
84. Pikkarainen K.
13. Paajanen O.
21. Maatta J.
11. Mazura T.
9. Koivu A.
Line 4
77. Puhakka V.
4. Jokinen M.
15. Jaakola O.
98. Teissala L.
20. Valkeejarvi S.
57. Munkki V.
55. Gallo V.
67. Ruokonen M.
Substitutes
32. Jatkola J. (G)
36. Makiniemi E. (G)
Coaches
. Myrra J.
. Soderholm T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
01:16, 0 - 1, Myllymaa K. (G), Pakkila E. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
06:17, 1 - 1, Siikonen M. (G),
08:54, 2 - 1, Ahlroth J. (G), Meskanen V. (A), Suomi J. (A2)
09:14, 3 - 1, Rooba R. (G), Meskanen V. (A), Siikonen M. (A2)
09:14, Niittymaki A. ↓, Makiniemi E. ↑,
2nd Period (1 - 0)
01:06, Binner A. (2 min),
05:31, 4 - 1, Davidsson M. (G), Miettinen V. (A), Berger J. (A2)
05:31, Savinainen V. (2 min),
05:31, Savinainen V. (Game Misconduct),
08:37, Paajanen O. (2 min),
19:00, Mazura T. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:53, Binner A. (2 min),
06:58, Davidsson M. (2 min),
11:00, 5 - 1, Paajanen O. (G), Grondahl A. (A), Mazura T. (A2)
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 5.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
KooKoo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
KooKoo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
We predict that KooKoo will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 64:46. (average 3.2:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, KooKoo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 3.2:2.8).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
TPS Turku: 3.42% KooKoo: 1.04%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
11
TPS Turku
11
5
0
1
5
29:25
16
17
KooKoo
12
1
0
1
10
25:52
4
Last Results with these Odds
TPS - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 27.3%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.