The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tappara 47.9%
Draw 23.9%
TPS 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.5%
20.9%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
22.5%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tappara's form might have worsened.
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting TPS's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tappara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TPS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tappara - TPS Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Heljanko C. (G)
36. Makiniemi E. (G)
26. Mattila Je.
6. Rafkin R. (A)
23. Jokipakka J.
44. Lindbohm P.
88. Blichfeld J.
49. Wernblom L.
22. Rasanen A.
97. Haudum L.
78. Rautiainen B.
22. Bryggman L. (A)
Line 2
72. Kulonummi K.
38. Landen A.
38. Almari N.
40. Lehtonen S.
11. Simontaival K.
25. Ikonen Jo.
89. Suvanto O.
13. Paajanen O. (C)
25. Haapala H.
86. Yliniemi S.
Line 3
63. Tuulola J. (A)
2. Tuhkala A.
33. Strandell O.
61. Binner A.
87. Fabre D.
24. Virtanen J.
62. Mattila Ju. (A)
21. Maatta J.
40. Sallinen T.
19. Savinainen V.
Line 4
56. Niemelainen M.
4. Chicoine G.
28. Wia W.
7. Lauridsen O.
42. Rauhala O. (C)
9. Koivu A.
17. Pavel O.
57. Munkki V.
10. Ylitalo N.
Substitutes
77. Metsola J. (G)
32. Vali N. (G)
41. Nykanen J.
Coaches
. Jalonen K.
. Soderholm T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
05:58, 0 - 1, Wernblom L. (G), Haudum L. (A), Bryggman L. (A2)
11:40, 1 - 1, Rasanen A. (G), Rautiainen B. (A), Mattila Je. (A2)
13:20, Maatta J. (2 min),
15:37, Simontaival K. (2 min),
19:04, 1 - 2, Bryggman L. (G), Haudum L. (A), Rafkin R. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:26, 2 - 2, Tuulola J. (G), Rauhala O. (A), Haapala H. (A2)
06:27, Landen A. (2 min),
12:41, Kulonummi K. (2 min),
13:55, 2 - 3, Bryggman L. (G), Ikonen Jo. (A), Wernblom L. (A2)
15:02, (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:20, Lehtonen S. (2 min),
00:36, Rafkin R. (2 min),
00:41, 3 - 3, Simontaival K. (G), Blichfeld J. (A), Rasanen A. (A2)
09:55, Simontaival K. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
03:37, Sallinen T. (2 min),
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Wernblom L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Rautiainen B. (Penalty Shot),
2, Haudum L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Rasanen A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Bryggman L. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 9th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 11th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Tappara may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tappara has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Recently, TPS has had a run of games away from home.
Tappara is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Tappara in today's match, at odds of 1.95.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tappara has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:48 (averaging 3.2:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tappara against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 28:18 goals (averaging 3.1:2 per game).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Tappara: 25.28% TPS Turku: 2.54%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Tappara
11
5
2
0
4
32:24
19
11
TPS Turku
11
5
0
1
5
29:25
16
Last Results with these Odds
Tappara - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 60.46%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
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Heljanko C. (G) 
Blichfeld J. 
Wernblom L. 
Haudum L. 
Fabre D. 
Chicoine G. 
Pavel O. 
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