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Tappara vs TPS Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, January 24, 2026)

Match Info

Liiga

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Tampere Deck Arena (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Tappara		TPS

	1	X	2
	1.5	5.25	4.75
	1.51	4.96	5.34	Watch
	1.54	4.17	4.8
	1.54	4.53	5.21	Watch
	1.44	4.5	4.75
	1.5	5	5.09	Watch
	1.6	4.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.54)	4.69 ↓ (4.74)	4.96 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tappara
61.3%

Draw
19.9%

TPS
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
77. Metsola J. (G)	36. Makiniemi E. (G)
21. Matinmikko A.	6. Rafkin R.
23. Jokipakka J.	40. Lehtonen S.
11. Simontaival K.	49. Wernblom L.
20. Keskinen O.	86. Yliniemi S.
27. Tanus K.	19. Savinainen V.
Line 2
15. Andersson J.	5. Sjoholm V.
26. Mattila Je.	7. Lauridsen O. (A)
25. Haapala H.	84. Pikkarainen K.
62. Mattila Ju. (A)	21. Maatta J. (A)
78. Rautiainen B.	82. Pakkila E.
Line 3
63. Tuulola J. (A)	38. Landen A.
6. Brickley D.	66. Reunanen T. (C)
82. Tuulola E.	98. Teissala L.
42. Rauhala O. (C)	87. Saarela A.
51. Sylvegard E.	9. Koivu A.
Line 4
5. Rasanen I.	61. Binner A.
41. Nykanen J.	10. Ylitalo N.
89. Suvanto O.	20. Myllymaa K.
17. Pavel O.	67. Ruokonen M.
Substitutes
30. Heljanko C. (G)
Coaches
. Gronborg R.	. Soderholm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:32, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
09:32, Haapala H. (2 min),
09:32, Wernblom L. (2 min),
15:35, 1 - 0, Sylvegard E. (G), Rauhala O. (A), Tuulola E. (A2)
18:48, Myllymaa K. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
04:18, 2 - 0, Jokipakka J. (G), Simontaival K. (A), Pavel O. (A2)
06:34, Ruokonen M. (2 min),
12:01, 3 - 0, Keskinen O. (G), Jokipakka J. (A), Matinmikko A. (A2)
13:15, 3 - 1, Saarela A. (G), Sjoholm V. (A), Reunanen T. (A2)
17:45, 3 - 2, Pakkila E. (G), Rafkin R. (A), Binner A. (A2)
19:00, Sylvegard E. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
05:44, Simontaival K. (2 min),
06:01, 3 - 3, Myllymaa K. (G), Pakkila E. (A), Maatta J. (A2)
07:48, 4 - 3, Tanus K. (G), Tuulola J. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
12:42, Savinainen V. (2 min),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Tappara is considered a favorite.

We predict that Tappara will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 63:44. (average 3.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:16. (average 2.9:1.8).

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Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Tappara: 66.86%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tappara hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
23.01.26	Ilves - Tappara	2:6 ✺
17.01.26	TPS - Tappara	4:2 ✺
16.01.26	Tappara - HIFK	4:5 ✺
10.01.26	Ässät - Tappara	1:5 ✺
09.01.26	Tappara - Ässät	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW
- TPS hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
23.01.26	TPS - Pelicans	3:4 OT ✺
17.01.26	TPS - Tappara	4:2 ✺
16.01.26	HPK - TPS	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	TPS - Kärpät	2:3 ✺
09.01.26	SaiPa - TPS	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
17.01.26	TPS - Tappara	4:2
13.12.25	TPS - Tappara	3:5
23.09.25	Tappara - TPS	1:2
01.03.25	TPS - Tappara	2:7
28.02.25	Tappara - TPS	2:5
02.11.24	TPS - Tappara	3:4 penalties
10.09.24	Tappara - TPS	2:3 penalties

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