Match Info

VHL

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)


	Gornyak-UGMK		Izhstal

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.7	4.67	Watch
	1.5	4.7	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.66)	4.7 ↑ (4.1)	4.64 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
60.4%

Draw
19.7%

Izhstal
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

22.9%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

22.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Gornyak UGMK - Izhstal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Novosyolov N. (G)	34. Tabatchikov V. (G)
83. Karpovich D.	3. Yuzlenko Y.
85. Zhuravlyov Y.	26. Petrikov Y. (A)
96. Miller N.	17. Dyuryagin D.
10. Filyayev V.	10. Astashevsky S.
56. Ovchinnikov I. (A)	41. Yerofeyev A.
Line 2
90. Nekrasov N. (A)	50. Zhdanov Y.
3. Zubarev A.	23. Glebov G. (A)
7. Gordin A.	88. Rymarev Y.
13. Zaitsev O. (C)	13. Popugayev N.
80. Demidovich V.	99. Ogirchuk D.
Line 3
95. Dumchenko N.	8. Sushinsky I.
92. Valitov D.	75. Vinogradov A. (C)
14. Makhrin M.	21. Pugachyov A.
70. Alexeyev Y.	36. Poyarkov D.
44. Lukhovskoy N.	59. Dolgopyatov N.
Line 4
71. Velikov M.	12. Reshetnikov K.
72. Trofimov Y.	11. Slepkov I.
32. Borisov S.	44. Yakupov R.
79. Tarasov M.	27. Pukelo K.
19. Grishakov A.	9. Redkov A.
Substitutes
20. Obvintsev T. (G)	1. Skovronsky A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
04:05, 1 - 0, Filyayev V. (G), Zhuravlyov Y. (A), Demidovich V. (A2)
13:08, 2 - 0, Miller N. (G), Valitov D. (A), Filyayev V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
16:38, 3 - 0, Alexeyev Y. (G), Valitov D. (A), Lukhovskoy N. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
18:40, 4 - 0, Demidovich V. (G), Gordin A. (A), Ovchinnikov I. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 3.

Gornyak-UGMK is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Izhstal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Izhstal has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 41:33. (average 2.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:15. (average 3.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
12.09.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 penalties ✺
10.09.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Molot Perm	4:1 ✺
08.09.25	Gornyak-UGMK - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	7:3 ✺
02.09.25	Chelmet - Gornyak-UGMK	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Gornyak-UGMK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWL
- Izhstal Izhevsk
VHL
12.09.25	Chelmet - Izhstal	3:1 ✺
10.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Izhstal	2:4 ✺
08.09.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Izhstal	4:5 penalties ✺
02.09.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Izhstal	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Izhstal - Chelny	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
23.12.24	Gornyak-UGMK - Izhstal	5:2
20.11.24	Izhstal - Gornyak-UGMK	3:1
12.02.24	Izhstal - Gornyak-UGMK	2:1 OT
08.09.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Izhstal	4:2
17.02.23	Gornyak-UGMK - Izhstal	4:1
12.09.22	Izhstal - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4
15.12.21	Gornyak-UGMK - Izhstal	5:4 penalties

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