Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Arena Mytishchi (Mytishchi)


	Kunlun		Barys Astana

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.98	3.53
	1.99	4.1	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)	4.04 ↓ (4.15)	3.51 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kunlun
49.2%

Draw
23.6%

Barys Astana
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

23%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

22.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kunlun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunlun than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Kunlun - Barys Astana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Smith J. (G)	1. Boyarkin N. (G)
44. Clendening A.	8. Kamalov N.
40. Lefebvre M.	87. Beketayev A. (A)
92. Jurco T.	72. Setdikov N.
74. Graovac T. (A)	89. Nikolishin I.
9. Halbgewachs J.	20. Bocharov S.
Line 2
13. Duszak J.	71. Daniyar Sam. (C)
27. Somerby D. (A)	32. Khokhlov I.
21. O'Regan D.	7. Burdasov A. (A)
20. Lockhart L.	17. Omirbekov A.
32. Likhachyov Y.	84. Savitsky K.
Line 3
3. Wood K.	25. Butenko D.
25. Kozhevnikov A.	58. Gaitamirov T.
15. Shuai Fu (C)	88. Zhafyarov D.
71. Campbell C.	77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
22. Fu Jiang	22. Panyukov K.
Line 4
10. Wong A.	31. Korolyov A.
24. Sharov A.	18. Dikhanbek M.
83. Elynuik H.	74. Ospanov R.
	79. Rakhmanov M.
	13. Kaiyrzhan D.
Substitutes
38. Keyser K. (G)	43. Shutov A. (G)
77. Zvyagin S.
Coaches
. Kravets M.	. Mambetaliyev G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
08:08, Zhafyarov D. (2 min),
10:09, 1 - 0, Lefebvre M. (G), Clendening A. (A),
10:26, Omirbekov A. (2 min),
17:49, Jurco T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
08:59, 2 - 0, Fu Jiang (G), Somerby D. (A), Duszak J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kunlun won 3.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently Kunlun have a series of home games.

Recently Barys have a series of guest games.

Kunlun will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Kunlun: Sinyatkin S. (Injury)

There will not play in Barys: Starchenko R. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kunlun won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 39:49 (average 2:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Kunlun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 13:28 (average 1.3:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kunlun Red Star
KHL
17.12.24	HC CSKA Moscow - Kunlun	3:2 ✺
08.12.24	Kunlun - Sibir Novosibirsk	5:7 ✺
06.12.24	Kunlun - Sochi	5:3 ✺
04.12.24	Kunlun - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:5 ✺
01.12.24	Kunlun - Dynamo Moscow	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL
- Barys Astana
KHL
17.12.24	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	0:2 ✺
08.12.24	SKA Saint Petersburg - Barys Astana	1:0 ✺
06.12.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Barys Astana	5:3 ✺
04.12.24	Barys Astana - Spartak Moscow	2:4 ✺
01.12.24	HC CSKA Moscow - Barys Astana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
29.10.24	Barys Astana - Kunlun	0:2
10.11.23	Barys Astana - Kunlun	1:2
22.10.23	Kunlun - Barys Astana	2:3 penalties
18.02.23	Kunlun - Barys Astana	1:2 OT
11.10.22	Barys Astana - Kunlun	0:5
10.12.21	Barys Astana - Kunlun	7:4
15.10.21	Kunlun - Barys Astana	1:2 penalties

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