Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday

Location: Arena Mytishchi (Mytishchi)


	Kunlun		Metallurg Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	4.49	4.35	1.6
	4.61	4.8	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↑ (3.66)	4.58 ↓ (4.7)	1.63 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kunlun
20.9%

Draw
20.7%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

20.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

19.7%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kunlun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kunlun's form might have worsened.

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunlun than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Kunlun - Metallurg Magnitogorsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kunlun will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Metallurg M will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Smith J. (G)	30. Nabokov I. (G)
44. Clendening A. (C)	9. Orekhov V.
12. McCoshen I.	44. Yakovlev Y. (C)
65. Yakupov N. (A)	14. Silantyev D.
8. Chartier R.	16. Zernov D.
21. O'Regan D.	8. Kantserov R.
Line 2
81. Pautov Y.	19. Press R. (A)
3. Wood K.	85. Maklyukov A. (A)
92. Jurco T.	31. Petunin A.
74. Graovac T.	22. Yurov D.
9. Halbgewachs J.	11. Mikhailis N.
Line 3
25. Kozhevnikov A.	87. Palivko D.
27. Somerby D. (A)	56. Khabarov M.
86. Sinyatkin S.	23. Wilson S.
20. Lockhart L.	39. Kozlov A.
22. Fu Jiang	29. Vovchenko D.
Line 4
40. Lefebvre M.	88. Yeryomenko V.
10. Wong A.	94. Korobkin Y.
83. Elynuik H.	47. Johnson L.
67. Moyle N.	18. Akolzin P.
Substitutes
38. Keyser K. (G)	86. Moiseyev D.
	20. Smolin A. (G)
Coaches
. Kravets M.	. Razin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
09:49, 1 - 0, Jurco T. (G), Halbgewachs J. (A),
12:15, Press R. (2 min),
18:17, 1 - 1, Silantyev D. (G), Zernov D. (A), Kantserov R. (A2)
20:00, McCoshen I. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:29, 1 - 2, Wilson S. (G), Press R. (A), Vovchenko D. (A2)
00:54, 2 - 2, O'Regan D. (G), Clendening A. (A), McCoshen I. (A2)
01:16, 2 - 3, Yurov D. (G), Mikhailis N. (A), Khabarov M. (A2)
05:58, Yeryomenko V. (2 min),
14:05, Graovac T. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:07, Clendening A. (2 min),
08:08, Kozhevnikov A. (2 min),
08:22, 2 - 4, Johnson L. (G), Khabarov M. (A), Wilson S. (A2)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kunlun won 1.

Kunlun is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Metallurg Magnitogorsk is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kunlun could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Metallurg Magnitogorsk is a favorite.

There will not play in Kunlun: Merkley R. (Injury)

There will not play in Metallurg Magnitogorsk: Minulin A. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kunlun won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 36:67 (average 1.8:3.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Kunlun won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:28 (average 2.3:3.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kunlun Red Star
KHL
18.10.24	Kunlun - Sochi	0:4 ✺
16.10.24	Kunlun - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:5 ✺
11.10.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Kunlun	0:3 ✺
09.10.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Kunlun	3:2 OT ✺
07.10.24	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Kunlun	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLL
- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
19.10.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Dinamo Minsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan	0:5 ✺
12.10.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avangard Omsk	4:2 ✺
10.10.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
30.12.23	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Kunlun	4:1
27.09.23	Kunlun - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:2 penalties
29.11.22	Kunlun - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:6
24.09.22	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Kunlun	4:0
08.12.21	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Kunlun	6:4
28.11.21	Kunlun - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:5
21.10.20	Kunlun - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	6:4

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