The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Severstal Cherepovets 57%
Draw 22%
Kunlun 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
21.5%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.3%
21.6%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Severstal Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Kunlun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Kunlun aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Severstal Cherepovets - Kunlun Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Kunlun will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kunlun: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
29. Samoilov A. (G)
29. Rybar P. (G)
84. Shchuchinov A.
81. Pautov Y.
8. Kaldis Y.
27. Somerby D. (A)
13. Pilipenko K.
71. Campbell C.
53. Aimurzin D.
32. Likhachyov Y.
99. Ilyin M.
15. Shuai Fu (C)
Line 2
2. Grudinin V.
44. Clendening A.
75. Davydov T.
40. Lefebvre M.
12. Skorenov A.
92. Jurco T.
78. Kruchinin A.
74. Graovac T. (A)
97. Chebykin N.
9. Halbgewachs J.
Line 3
26. Yershov I.
13. Duszak J.
44. Barberio M. (A)
12. McCoshen I.
23. Liska A. (C)
94. Drozg J.
69. Pyanov E.
21. O'Regan D.
57. Kotlyarevsky M.
20. Lockhart L.
Line 4
54. Churkin A.
10. Wong A.
88. Dumbadze D. (A)
24. Sharov A.
66. Podshivalov I.
83. Elynuik H.
16. Nikitin V.
Substitutes
33. Mukhanov T.
45. Smith J. (G)
1. Shostak K. (G)
77. Zvyagin S.
Coaches
. Kozyrev A.
. Kravets M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
13:46, McCoshen I. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 0)
05:24, 1 - 0, Shchuchinov A. (G), Kotlyarevsky M. (A),
15:58, 2 - 0, Dumbadze D. (G), Mukhanov T. (A), Podshivalov I. (A2)
19:26, Duszak J. (2 min),
19:26, Lockhart L. (2 min),
19:39, 3 - 0, Chebykin N. (G), Shchuchinov A. (A), Aimurzin D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
01:11, Pilipenko K. (2 min),
05:18, Chebykin N. (2 min),
19:25, Jurco T. (2 min),
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Severstal won 4.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Kunlun could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Severstal is a favorite.
There will not play in Severstal: Dyblenko Y.
(Injury)
There will not play in Kunlun: Sinyatkin S.
(Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Severstal won 17 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 70:39 (average 3.5:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Severstal won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 34:21 (average 3.4:2.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Kunlun - the odds 4.53 are the expected chance of winning is 20.93%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Samoilov A. (G) 
Rybar P. (G) 
Kaldis Y. 
Somerby D. (A) 
Shuai Fu (C) 
Skorenov A. 
Drozg J. 
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