Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Balashikha Arena (Balashikha)


	Vityaz Balashikha		Metallurg Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	3.69	3.84	1.86
	3.83	4	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (3.53)	3.92 ↓ (4.5)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vityaz Balashikha
25.3%

Draw
24.3%

Metallurg Magnitogorsk
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

21.1%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

19.4%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vityaz Balashikha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Vityaz Balashikha - Metallurg Magnitogorsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vityaz will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Metallurg M will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
83. Dorozhko M. (G)	20. Smolin A. (G)
79. Roy J. (A)	9. Orekhov V.
7. Busygin Y.	88. Yeryomenko V.
40. Kalinin S.	14. Silantyev D.
23. Gauthier F.	16. Zernov D.
86. Vorobyov I.	23. Wilson S.
Line 2
18. Stewart D.	19. Press R. (A)
53. Pedan R.	85. Maklyukov A. (C)
82. Chekhovich I.	31. Petunin A.
26. Barach D.	22. Yurov D.
41. Daryin A.	11. Mikhailis N.
Line 3
9. Valentsov V.	87. Palivko D.
2. Golovkov I. (A)	56. Khabarov M.
87. Tsitsyura V.	89. Geraskin I.
28. Chivilyov A.	39. Kozlov A.
21. Savchik I.	29. Vovchenko D.
Line 4
19. Malorosiyanov D.	27. Gololobov D.
93. Arkalov I.	86. Moiseyev D.
10. Galuzin V. (C)	94. Korobkin Y. (A)
13. Yarovoy S.	47. Johnson L.
	95. Osipovich B.
Substitutes
98. Almazov N.	33. Utkin A. (G)
44. Shikin D. (G)
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Razin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:18, Pedan R. (2 min),
02:06, Galuzin V. (2 min),
07:50, 1 - 0, Barach D. (G), Daryin A. (A), Pedan R. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
15:02, Chekhovich I. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:45, Johnson L. (2 min),
05:52, 2 - 0, Tsitsyura V. (G), Valentsov V. (A), Malorosiyanov D. (A2)
06:58, Stewart D. (2 min),
09:04, (2 min),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Vityaz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Metallurg Magnitogorsk have a series of home games.

Metallurg Magnitogorsk will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Vityaz: Vashchenko G. (Injury)

There will not play in Metallurg Magnitogorsk: Minulin A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Metallurg Magnitogorsk: Zernov D. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 51:57 (average 2.6:2.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Vityaz won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28:28 (average 2.8:2.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 52.08%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
17.10.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	1:3 ✺
14.10.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:1 ✺
10.10.24	Sochi - Vityaz Balashikha	2:3 OT ✺
08.10.24	Sochi - Vityaz Balashikha	2:4 ✺
06.10.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Dynamo Moscow	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWL
- Metallurg Magnitogorsk
KHL
17.10.24	Dinamo Minsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan	0:5 ✺
12.10.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Avangard Omsk	4:2 ✺
10.10.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	4:5 ✺
08.10.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Dynamo Moscow	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	6:4
KHL
24.02.24	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Vityaz Balashikha	2:1
09.09.23	Vityaz Balashikha - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:4
09.02.23	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Vityaz Balashikha	4:5 OT
29.01.23	Vityaz Balashikha - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:1 penalties
25.12.21	Vityaz Balashikha - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	3:5
30.10.21	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Vityaz Balashikha	2:1

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