Match Info

Liiga

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Let's Go Areena (Mikkeli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3


	Mikkelin Jukurit		Tappara

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.75	1.7
	4.06	4.3	1.74	Watch
	3.95	3.89	1.71
	3.74	4.43	1.75	Watch
	3.5	4	1.67
	3.88	4.4	1.73	Watch
	4	4.25	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.66)	4.29 ↑ (3.92)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Jukurit
24.2%

Draw
21.7%

Tappara
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

23.8%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

25.5%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tappara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tappara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Tappara (2.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tappara (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Buitenhuis E. (G)	30. Heljanko C. (G)
23. Smits A.	21. Matinmikko A.
3. Arola J. (A)	23. Jokipakka J.
10. Olsen T.	11. Simontaival K.
20. Addamo J.	20. Keskinen O.
96. Frilander J.	27. Tanus K.
Line 2
58. Johansson K.	15. Andersson J.
70. Saari E.	26. Mattila Je.
54. Piitulainen J. (C)	25. Haapala H.
52. Hynninen T.	62. Mattila Ju. (A)
76. Hamalainen S.	78. Rautiainen B.
Line 3
53. Korkola N.	63. Tuulola J. (A)
19. Tiihonen L.	6. Brickley D.
67. Haatanen A. (A)	82. Tuulola E.
89. Tammela J.	42. Rauhala O. (C)
34. Immonen S.	51. Sylvegard E.
Line 4
71. Romppanen N.	5. Rasanen I.
63. Heikkinen L.	41. Nykanen J.
18. Sandvik V.	89. Suvanto O.
93. Horvath B.	17. Pavel O.
Substitutes
36. Ruusu M. (G)	77. Metsola J. (G)
Coaches
. Virtanen J.	. Gronborg R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
01:12, 0 - 1, Simontaival K. (G), Keskinen O. (A), Andersson J. (A2)
16:16, 0 - 2, Tanus K. (G), Andersson J. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:39, Tammela J. (2 min),
11:03, Mattila Ju. (2 min),
19:55, 1 - 2, Korkola N. (G), Hamalainen S. (A), Frilander J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:08, Jokipakka J. (2 min),
04:54, 2 - 2, Piitulainen J. (G), Hynninen T. (A), Tiihonen L. (A2)
05:41, Johansson K. (2 min),
12:26, Smits A. (2 min),
19:59, 2 - 3, Matinmikko A. (G), Tuulola J. (A), Tanus K. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tappara could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 51:72. (average 2.6:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Jukurit won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:42. (average 2.7:4.2).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Tappara: 25.28% Jukurit: 1.1%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	14	6	3	0	5	36:29	24
9	Tappara	11	5	2	0	4	32:24	19

Last Results with these Odds

Tappara - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.71%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
24.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ilves	2:3 OT ✺
22.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	6:2 ✺
17.01.26	SaiPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:2 ✺
16.01.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - SaiPa	3:4 OT ✺
10.01.26	Vaasan Sport - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW
- Tappara hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
24.01.26	Tappara - TPS	4:3 ✺
23.01.26	Ilves - Tappara	2:6 ✺
17.01.26	TPS - Tappara	4:2 ✺
16.01.26	Tappara - HIFK	4:5 ✺
10.01.26	Ässät - Tappara	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
26.11.25	Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:3
22.11.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara	2:3 OT
15.03.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara	2:6
29.01.25	Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:2
05.12.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara	2:4
19.10.24	Tappara - Mikkelin Jukurit	5:3
07.02.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara	4:1

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