Match Info

Liiga

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Let's Go Areena (Mikkeli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+


	Mikkelin Jukurit		Lukko

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.2	1.77
	3.72	4.11	1.85
	4.28	4.31	1.7	Watch
	3.3	3.75	1.8
	3.61	4.25	1.82	Watch
	3.75	3.85	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↓ (4.07)	4.08 ↑ (3.95)	1.8 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Jukurit
25%

Draw
23%

Lukko
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

23.9%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

23.6%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lukko (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lukko will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Buitenhuis E. (G)	32. Raanta A. (G)
71. Romppanen N.	9. Stenqvist J.
3. Arola J.	38. Almari N.
10. Olsen T.	16. Beaucage A.
20. Addamo J.	93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
40. Boudon L.	24. Krannila J.
Line 2
58. Johansson K.	86. Gelinas E. (C)
7. Worge Kreu W.	5. Peters A.
54. Piitulainen J. (C)	90. Hamalainen L.
16. Ford C. (A)	88. Morand A.
52. Hynninen T.	18. Jandric S.
Line 3
53. Korkola N.	34. Viitasalo N.
70. Saari E.	56. Olsson A.
82. Ruuttu A. (A)	27. Westerholm Po.
89. Tammela J.	17. Westerholm Pa.
76. Hamalainen S.	25. Saarela A.
Line 4
33. Karki A.	15. Tukiainen J.
96. Frilander J.	47. Haapanen T.
18. Sandvik V.	14. Intonen A.
63. Heikkinen L.	48. Ikonen H. (A)
Substitutes
1. Herpin M. (G)	30. Salonen D. (G)
Coaches
. Virtanen J.	. Lamsa T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
07:31, 0 - 1, Ruohomaa M. (G), Beaucage A. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:51, 1 - 1, Piitulainen J. (G), Romppanen N. (A), Arola J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:59, Olsen T. (2 min),
11:59, Peters A. (2 min),
16:00, 1 - 2, Tukiainen J. (G), Morand A. (A),
18:46, Gelinas E. (2 min),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 0.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lukko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lukko will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 48:53. (average 2.4:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Jukurit won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 3:2.8).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Jukurit: 2.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jukurit	14	6	3	0	5	36:29	24
6	Lukko	11	6	1	0	4	29:23	20

Last Results with these Odds

Lukko - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.83%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga
03.01.26	HPK - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Pelicans	5:3 ✺
20.12.25	Kärpät - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:2 penalties ✺
17.12.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Vaasan Sport	4:0 ✺
11.12.25	TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWL
- Lukko Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
27.12.25	Pelicans - Lukko	1:5 ✺
26.12.25	Lukko - Vaasan Sport	2:1 OT ✺
20.12.25	Lukko - HPK	4:2 ✺
19.12.25	SaiPa - Lukko	5:2 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
16.12.25	EV Zug - Lukko	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
28.11.25	Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:0
14.11.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko	2:3
19.02.25	Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko	1:3
11.01.25	Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit	8:0
16.11.24	Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit	4:0
16.10.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko	4:3 penalties
23.02.24	Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko	2:3

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