The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mikkelin Jukurit 34.2%
Draw 25.9%
Lukko 39.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.2%
25.7%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
27.2%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mikkelin Jukurit's performance.
Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikkelin Jukurit that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Mikkelin Jukurit - Lukko Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Myrenberg J. (G)
32. Raanta A. (G)
26. Sustr A.
9. Stenqvist J.
36. Ruusu E.
27. Seppala P.
92. Olofsson J.
16. Beaucage A.
16. Ford C. (C)
93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
15. Hayhurst J.
18. Liedes H. (C)
Line 2
40. Lintuniemi A. (A)
34. Viitasalo N.
44. Sedoff C.
43. Valila A.
10. Olsen T. (A)
87. Saarela A. (A)
20. Addamo J.
91. Robert F.
29. Boudon L.
33. Pulakka V.
Line 3
53. Korkola N.
56. Olsson A.
70. Saari E.
96. Harpur C.
88. Jormakka P.
6. Tuuva L.
25. Sjodin L.
29. Vanninen A.
96. Frilander J.
57. Mensonen J.
Line 4
19. Tiihonen L.
15. Tukiainen J.
89. Tammela J.
48. Ikonen H.
57. Chrons A.
24. Krannila J.
34. Ahonen V.
47. Haapanen T.
Substitutes
1. Herpin M. (G)
30. Salonen D. (G)
11. Horvath B.
23. Trakht D.
Coaches
. Virtanen J.
. Lamsa T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
13:31, 0 - 1, Haapanen T. (G), Krannila J. (A), Valila A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:13, 0 - 2, Krannila J. (G), Seppala P. (A), Haapanen T. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
07:47, 1 - 2, Olofsson J. (G), Sjodin L. (A), Saari E. (A2)
11:17, 2 - 2, Sustr A. (G), Sjodin L. (A), Hayhurst J. (A2)
11:40, Harpur C. (5 min),
11:40, Sedoff C. (5 min),
13:39, 3 - 2, Boudon L. (G), Hayhurst J. (A), Lintuniemi A. (A2)
16:45, 3 - 3, Liedes H. (G), Seppala P. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Tuuva L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Olofsson J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Beaucage A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Ahonen V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Ruohomaa M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Lintuniemi A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Sustr A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Tuuva L. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 0.
Jukurit has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Lukko is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Lukko may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lukko holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Jukurit has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:49 (averaging 2.4:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jukurit against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 30:25 goals (averaging 3:2.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Lukko
19
11
3
1
4
53:36
40
5
Jukurit
19
8
4
1
6
47:39
33
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Jukurit: 1.42%
Last Results with these Odds
Mikkelin Jukurit - the odds 3.57 are the expected chance of winning is 26.15%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Lukko - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.13%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Myrenberg J. (G) 
Raanta A. (G) 
Sustr A. 
Beaucage A. 
Ford C. (C) 
Olsen T. (A) 
Addamo J. 
Horvath B. 
Trakht D. 
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