The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mikkelin Jukurit 28.4%
Draw 23.8%
Ilves 47.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
25.4%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
27.7%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mikkelin Jukurit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mikkelin Jukurit - Ilves Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
29. Buitenhuis E. (G)
40. Armalis M. (G)
23. Smits A.
53. Pelli A.
3. Arola J.
21. Kucerik R.
10. Olsen T.
29. Looke J.
20. Addamo J.
9. Jasek L.
34. Immonen S.
92. Henman L.
Line 2
19. Tiihonen L.
3. Utunen T. (A)
70. Saari E.
28. Nyberg J.
54. Piitulainen J. (C)
72. Svejkovsky L.
16. Ford C.
12. Mantykivi M.
52. Hynninen T.
46. Torok M.
Line 3
53. Korkola N.
23. Johansson S.
7. Worge Kreu W.
57. Parikka J.
82. Ruuttu A. (A)
48. Klingberg C. (A)
89. Tammela J.
11. Borg E.
67. Haatanen A. (A)
22. Engberg T.
Line 4
71. Romppanen N.
6. Soini S.
63. Heikkinen L.
27. Laurell E.
40. Boudon L.
86. Nattinen J. (C)
76. Hamalainen S.
17. Ratinen S.
Substitutes
1. Herpin M. (G)
39. Pavlat D. (G)
Coaches
. Virtanen J.
. Niemela T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
00:36, Addamo J. (2 min),
06:10, Tiihonen L. (2 min),
08:21, Svejkovsky L. (2 min),
08:32, 1 - 0, Ford C. (G), Piitulainen J. (A), Hynninen T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:30, 2 - 0, Ford C. (G), Piitulainen J. (A),
09:35, Klingberg C. (2 min),
15:49, Haatanen A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
03:24, (2 min),
04:10, Buitenhuis E. (2 min),
04:47, 2 - 1, Johansson S. (G), Henman L. (A), Jasek L. (A2)
06:41, 2 - 2, Mantykivi M. (G), Looke J. (A), Johansson S. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:43, 2 - 3, Jasek L. (G), Parikka J. (A), Torok M. (A2)
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ilves has had a series of home games.
Ilves will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jukurit won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 46:64. (average 2.3:3.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jukurit won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 2.1:2.6).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Jukurit: 1.1%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Ilves
12
8
1
0
3
36:24
26
2
Jukurit
14
6
3
0
5
36:29
24
Last Results with these Odds
Ilves - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.13%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.