Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Kärpät U20		Tappara U20

	1	X	2
	3.15	4.4	1.68
	2.85	3.75	1.94
	2.97	4.03	1.99	Watch
	2.96	4	1.96
	3.1	4.3	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.97)	4.1 ↑ (4.03)	1.87 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kärpät U20
29.9%

Draw
21.9%

Tappara U20
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

22.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

22.8%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kärpät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tappara U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Kärpät U20 - Tappara U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
19:34, 1 - 0, Tynkila A. (G), Kylmala O. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
07:00, 2 - 0, Kylmala O. (G), Karassaari J. (A),
13:33, 3 - 0, Pietila B. (G), Saarenpaa M. (A),
18:05, 3 - 1, Jarventie M. (G), Vauhkonen V. (A),
18:52, 3 - 2, Holmberg J. (G), Karvonen J. (A), Wehmas E. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
19:07, 4 - 2, Karassaari J. (G), Palokangas J. (A),
19:32, 5 - 2, Karassaari J. (G), Pietila B. (A), Peipinen H. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 1.

Kärpät U20 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tappara U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tappara U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tappara U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 55:80. (average 2.8:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 2.9:3.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kärpät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.11.25	Kärpät U20 - Tappara U20	4:5 ✺
22.11.25	Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20	4:1 ✺
21.11.25	Lukko U20 - Kärpät U20	4:1 ✺
14.11.25	Kärpät U20 - RoKi U20	5:1 ✺
01.11.25	Kärpät U20 - Ilves U20	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Tappara U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.11.25	Kärpät U20 - Tappara U20	4:5 ✺
22.11.25	Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20	4:1 ✺
20.11.25	Tappara U20 - JYP U20	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	HPK U20 - Tappara U20	5:1 ✺
01.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Tappara U20	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
28.11.25	Kärpät U20 - Tappara U20	4:5
22.11.25	Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20	4:1
16.03.25	Kärpät U20 - Tappara U20	2:7
15.03.25	Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20	6:1
12.03.25	Kärpät U20 - Tappara U20	3:1
02.11.24	Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20	4:3 OT
07.09.24	Kärpät U20 - Tappara U20	3:2 penalties

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