Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	HPK U20		Tappara U20

	1	X	2
	2.6	4.6	1.8
	2.84	3.81	1.92
	2.98	4.10	1.97	Watch
	2.96	4.1	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.98)	4.15 ↑ (4.1)	1.91 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HPK U20
31.5%

Draw
21.6%

Tappara U20
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

22.4%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

22.4%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HPK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tappara U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

HPK U20 - Tappara U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:43, 1 - 0, Kaikkonen T. (G), Toivonen V. (A), Lehtonen O. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
14:01, 2 - 0, Huttunen R. (G), Ketonen A. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
04:29, 3 - 0, Liski T. (G), Lappalainen M. (A), Pulli T. (A2)
04:46, 4 - 0, Seikkula E. (G), Huttunen R. (A),
06:17, 5 - 0, Tiilikainen V. (G), Toivonen V. (A), Lamponen V. (A2)
17:42, 5 - 1, Lehtosaari R. (G), Mikkonen D. (A), Rajala J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tappara U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, HPK U20 has had a series of home games.

Tappara U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that HPK U20 will win today's game, with odds of 2.93.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 67:78. (average 3.4:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, HPK U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:32. (average 3.3:3.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HPK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
14.11.25	HPK U20 - KooKoo U20	6:3 ✺
01.11.25	HPK U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	2:5 ✺
31.10.25	HPK U20 - JYP U20	2:4 ✺
25.10.25	Lukko U20 - HPK U20	0:5 ✺
24.10.25	HPK U20 - KalPa U20	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLWW
- Tappara U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
01.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Tappara U20	2:3 penalties ✺
31.10.25	TPS U20 - Tappara U20	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Tappara U20 - Lukko U20	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	2:3 penalties ✺
17.10.25	Ässät U20 - Tappara U20	4:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.09.25	Tappara U20 - HPK U20	5:4
20.12.24	Tappara U20 - HPK U20	4:2
30.11.24	Tappara U20 - HPK U20	2:1
25.10.24	HPK U20 - Tappara U20	2:1
28.09.24	HPK U20 - Tappara U20	6:8
02.02.24	Tappara U20 - HPK U20	2:4
18.11.23	Tappara U20 - HPK U20	4:5 penalties

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