Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Vaasan Sport U20		Tappara U20

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.5	1.52
	3.13	4.34	1.86	Watch
	3.1	4.2	1.75
	3.22	4.5	1.81
	2.8	4.4	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.86)	4.39 ↑ (3.97)	1.76 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vaasan Sport U20
28.3%

Draw
20.5%

Tappara U20
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

23.2%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

25.1%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vaasan Sport U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Tappara U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tappara U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport U20 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vaasan Sport U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tappara U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vaasan Sport U20 - Tappara U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
10:09, 0 - 1, Kotajarvi J. (G), Lehtosaari R. (A), Mikkonen D. (A2)
12:30, 0 - 2, Rantala J. (G), Jarventie M. (A), Karjalainen J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:44, 1 - 2, Mourujarvi E. (G), Valtanen J. (A), Kangas E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
11:17, 1 - 3, Louvanto L. (G), Vanhatalo V. (A), Kuisma J. (A2)
12:46, 1 - 4, Katolicky S. (G), Louvanto L. (A), Kuisma J. (A2)
17:02, 1 - 5, Selin K. (G), Kotajarvi J. (A), Kuisma J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vaasan Sport U20 won 2.

Vaasan Sport U20 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tappara U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vaasan Sport U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tappara U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vaasan Sport U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 55:87. (average 2.8:4.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vaasan Sport U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:43. (average 2.6:4.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Tappara U20	11	6	0	2	3	34:32	20
16	Vaasan Sport U20	9	1	1	1	6	29:37	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vaasan Sport U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
16.01.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:6 ✺
10.01.26	HPK U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	5:2 ✺
09.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	5:1 ✺
03.01.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - JYP U20	6:3 ✺
20.12.25	KalPa U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Tappara U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
16.01.26	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	1:6 ✺
10.01.26	Tappara U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:4 ✺
09.01.26	Tappara U20 - KooKoo U20	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	HIFK U20 - Tappara U20	3:5 ✺
03.01.26	Lukko U20 - Tappara U20	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
01.11.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Tappara U20	2:3 penalties
27.09.25	Tappara U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	2:3 penalties
03.01.25	Vaasan Sport U20 - Tappara U20	1:5
21.09.24	Tappara U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	1:4
01.02.24	Vaasan Sport U20 - Tappara U20	3:4 OT
16.12.23	Tappara U20 - Vaasan Sport U20	1:2
22.10.23	Vaasan Sport U20 - Tappara U20	3:4 penalties

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