Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 15 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Rubin Tyumen

	1	X	2
	1.99	3.6	2.95
	2.05	3.59	3.01
	2.02	4	3.02	Watch
	2.04	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.09)	3.74 ↓ (4)	3 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
45.1%

Draw
24.4%

Rubin Tyumen
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

23.3%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

25.4%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (-1%)

Lada Togliatti - Rubin Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lada won 0.

Lada is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rubin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rubin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lada have a series of guest games.

Recently Rubin have a series of home games.

Lada will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Lada won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 30-47.

Including matches at home between the teams Lada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 10-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
10.11.22	Izhstal - Lada Togliatti	2:3 penalties ✺
08.11.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Lada Togliatti	3:1 ✺
06.11.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Lada Togliatti	3:2 OT ✺
04.11.22	Molot Perm - Lada Togliatti	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Tambov	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL
- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
13.11.22	AKM - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 OT ✺
05.11.22	Rubin Tyumen - Omskie Krylia	4:2 ✺
03.11.22	Rubin Tyumen - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	6:5 OT ✺
01.11.22	Rubin Tyumen - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:7 ✺
30.10.22	Rubin Tyumen - Ermak Angarsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
16.03.22	Lada Togliatti - Rubin Tyumen	3:4 OT
15.03.22	Lada Togliatti - Rubin Tyumen	2:3 OT
12.03.22	Rubin Tyumen - Lada Togliatti	4:3
11.03.22	Rubin Tyumen - Lada Togliatti	3:2 OT
13.12.21	Lada Togliatti - Rubin Tyumen	0:4
09.11.21	Rubin Tyumen - Lada Togliatti	3:4
21.01.21	Lada Togliatti - Rubin Tyumen	2:3

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