Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday


	Molot Perm		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.07
	2.87	3.63	2.05
	2.96	3.84	2.23	Watch
	2.9	3.8	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.38)	3.72 ↓ (4.1)	2.12 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molot Perm
31.9%

Draw
24.7%

Lada Togliatti
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

22.8%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

24.8%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lada Togliatti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Molot Perm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lada Togliatti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Molot Perm - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Molot will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lada will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Molot won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Molot could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lada have a series of home games.

Lada will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Molot won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 30-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Molot won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Molot Perm
VHL
02.11.22	Molot Perm - AKM	5:4 OT ✺
31.10.22	Molot Perm - Zvezda Moscow	3:1 ✺
26.10.22	Omskie Krylia - Molot Perm	6:1 ✺
24.10.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm	1:2 penalties ✺
21.10.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Molot Perm	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLWL
- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
29.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Tambov	2:3 ✺
27.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Dizel Penza	3:5 ✺
25.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Khimik	4:3 ✺
23.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Ryazan	4:2 ✺
18.10.22	Gornyak-UGMK - Lada Togliatti	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
28.11.21	Molot Perm - Lada Togliatti	3:4
20.11.21	Lada Togliatti - Molot Perm	3:4 OT
22.12.20	Lada Togliatti - Molot Perm	3:0
26.10.20	Molot Perm - Lada Togliatti	0:3
09.12.19	Lada Togliatti - Molot Perm	3:1
11.01.19	Lada Togliatti - Molot Perm	2:3
13.10.18	Molot Perm - Lada Togliatti	3:1

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