Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Rubin Tyumen		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.8	6
	1.4	4.74	5.83
	1.4	5.2	5.9	Watch
	1.36	5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	4.94 ↑ (4.77)	6.03 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Tyumen
66.4%

Draw
18.5%

Ermak Angarsk
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

19.1%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

18.2%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Tyumen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Rubin Tyumen - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rubin won 5.

Recent matches Rubin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ermak has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rubin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ermak have a series of home games.

In this match Rubin is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rubin to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Rubin won 16 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 62-45.

Including matches at home between the teams Rubin won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 35-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
26.10.22	Rubin Tyumen - SKA-VMF	1:2 OT ✺
24.10.22	Rubin Tyumen - Dinamo St. Petersburg	5:1 ✺
15.10.22	Izhstal - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 penalties ✺
13.10.22	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Rubin Tyumen	3:5 ✺
11.10.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWW
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
25.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Izhstal	0:1 penalties ✺
23.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	2:3 ✺
21.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:4 ✺
19.10.22	Ermak Angarsk - Molot Perm	2:3 ✺
14.10.22	Tambov - Ermak Angarsk	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.02.22	Ermak Angarsk - Rubin Tyumen	0:1
09.09.21	Rubin Tyumen - Ermak Angarsk	1:0
12.01.21	Rubin Tyumen - Ermak Angarsk	4:3
16.10.20	Ermak Angarsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:3 OT
07.01.20	Rubin Tyumen - Ermak Angarsk	6:3
06.01.20	Rubin Tyumen - Ermak Angarsk	2:0
19.11.19	Ermak Angarsk - Rubin Tyumen	1:2

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